Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (202/282) | 78% (317/404) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (202/282) | 78% (317/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 33% (21/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/111) | 58% (68/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.25 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Reynoso E. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 32', Viafara F. 🟨,
- 38', Cardona E. 🟨,
- 45', Aguilar F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Viafara F. ↓, Luis Orejuela ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Dinenno J. ⚽, Luis Orejuela (A),
- 59', Uribe M. 🟨,
- 59', Dinenno J. 🟨,
- 64', Rodriguez N. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 64', Cardona E. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 75', Orozco M. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
- 76', Caldera Alvis J. C. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 77', Uribe M. ↓, Arango C. ↑,
- 77', Moreno M. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
- 78', Casco M. 🟨,
- 79', Correa A. 🟨,
- 83', Dinenno J. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
- 86', Zapata J. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
- 88', Roman A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mtj32nky
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cali
29.1% | Draw
27.7% | Atlético Nacional
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(3.18) |
3.36 ↑
(3.31) |
2.17 ↓
(2.19) |
7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.75 - Atlético Nacional (5.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 2.
- Recent performances by Deportivo Cali have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Deportivo Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of home games.
- Atlético Nacional could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Cali has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Cali?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
14.10.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Cali
2:1
20.04.2025
Deportivo Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
09.10.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Cali
1:1
16.02.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
3:2
06.08.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
