Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/04/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	1.42
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
71% (177/248)	87% (435/502)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.34	0.07
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
2	8
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
2	9
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
6	19
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
15	15
Passes
71% (177/248)	87% (435/502)
Long passes
41% (20/49)	69% (34/49)
Passes in final third
58% (34/59)	76% (133/174)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.25	1.28
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
79% (19/24)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
49	41
Clearances Total
27	12
Interceptions
9	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.07	0.34
Goals prevented
0.07	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Estupinan A. ⚽,
18', Juan Quintero 🟨,
21', Cardona E. 🟨,
27', Rivero E. 🟨,
42', Candido C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rivero E. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
46', Cardona E. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
54', Castillo F. ↓, Cantillo J. ↑,
75', Estupinan A. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
76', Roman A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
85', Barrera J. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
85', Colorado J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
86', Bustamante R. ↓, Caldera Alvis J. C. ↑,
86', Campuzano J. 🟨,
90+1', Hinestroza M. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/2fmtsdjd

Chances of winning

Deportivo Cali
24.2%

Draw
29.7%

Atlético Nacional
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.7%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Cali's form might have worsened.

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.1)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)	6.6% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 1.
Recent matches Deportivo Cali is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Deportivo Cali could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Atlético Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:26 (average 1.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cali won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Atlético Nacional?

Deportivo Cali has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Cali?

Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional were as follows:

09.10.2024 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali 1:1

16.02.2024 Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional 3:2

06.08.2023 Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional 1:1

12.02.2023 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali 1:1

18.09.2022 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali 3:0

Latest results of Deportivo Cali

15.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali 2:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad 3:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Cali 1:1 ✺

24.03.2025 Deportivo Cali - América de Cali 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Nacional

16.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Boyacá Chicó 4:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Internacional RS - Atlético Nacional 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo 3:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
3	Santa Fe	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
4	Atl. Nacional	5	2	2	1	8:5	3	8
5	Fortaleza	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
6	Deportes Tolima	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
7	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
8	Alianza	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
10	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
11	Dep. Cali	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
12	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
13	America De Cali	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
14	Ind. Medellin	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
15	Pereira	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
16	U. Magdalena	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
17	Aguilas	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
18	Bucaramanga	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
19	Once Caldas	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Millonarios	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )