Result
1:0
20/04/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (177/248) | 87% (435/502) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (177/248) | 87% (435/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (20/49) | 69% (34/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (34/59) | 76% (133/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Estupinan A. ⚽,
- 18', Juan Quintero 🟨,
- 21', Cardona E. 🟨,
- 27', Rivero E. 🟨,
- 42', Candido C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rivero E. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
- 46', Cardona E. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 54', Castillo F. ↓, Cantillo J. ↑,
- 75', Estupinan A. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
- 76', Roman A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 85', Barrera J. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
- 85', Colorado J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 86', Bustamante R. ↓, Caldera Alvis J. C. ↑,
- 86', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Hinestroza M. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,
Highlights
http://tinyurl.com/2fmtsdjd
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cali
24.2% | Draw
29.7% | Atlético Nacional
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Cali's form might have worsened.Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.81 ↑
(3.1) |
3.16 ↓
(3.2) |
2.05 ↓
(2.2) |
6.6%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 1.
- Recent matches Deportivo Cali is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Atlético Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Deportivo Cali could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Atlético Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:26 (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cali won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Cali has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Cali?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
09.10.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Cali
1:1
16.02.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
3:2
06.08.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
12.02.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Cali
1:1
18.09.2022
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Cali
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | U. Magdalena | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Alianza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
