Result
2:1
14/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (430/498) | 78% (222/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (430/498) | 78% (222/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (45/62) | 57% (34/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (111/149) | 62% (46/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽, Aponza J. (A),
- 22', Varela J. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Uribe M. ⚽, Candido C. (A),
- 35', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 41', Arias J. J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 1, Sarmiento A. ⚽, Uribe M. (A),
- 64', Martinez J. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
- 72', Morelos A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 72', Cardona E. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 73', Estupinan A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 73', Aponza J. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
- 80', Sarmiento A. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 80', Uribe M. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 81', Candido C. 🟨,
- 83', Hurtado A. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
- 83', Orozco M. ↓, Luis Orejuela ↑,
- 86', Hinestroza M. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 90+4', Luis Orejuela 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4zrnmt5x
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
62.9% | Draw
21.7% | Deportivo Cali
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.35) |
4.37 ↓
(4.81) |
6.2 ↓
(8.05) |
6.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Nacional will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Cali?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Cali has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali were as follows:
20.04.2025
Deportivo Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
09.10.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Cali
1:1
16.02.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
3:2
06.08.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
12.02.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Cali
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
