Result
0:0
15/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 9 | 35 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (151/198) | 88% (393/448) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (37/63) | 79% (140/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 28% (9/32) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 69% (9/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Arias J. J. 🟥,
- 42', Zapata J. 🟨,
- 44', Uribe N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 46', Zapata J. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
- 62', Palacio J. ↓, Hinestroza J. ↑,
- 62', Cuervo S. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
- 65', Viveros K. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 69', Garces J. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
- 76', Uribe M. ↓, Aguirre Tabares J. F. ↑,
- 80', Arcila D. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
- 82', Roman A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 89', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4pv7m964
Chances of winning
Envigado
11.1% | Draw
20.8% | Atlético Nacional
68.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Envigado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Envigado - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.51 ↑
(5.52) |
4.53 ↑
(3.73) |
1.38 ↓
(1.63) |
6.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Envigado - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Envigado won 0.
- Recent matches Envigado is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Envigado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Atlético Nacional is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Envigado won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 19:33 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Envigado won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Atlético Nacional?
Envigado has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Envigado?
Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
14.10.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Envigado
2:1
30.03.2024
Envigado
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
30.09.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Envigado
3:0
23.04.2023
Envigado
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
01.09.2022
Atlético Nacional
-
Envigado
1:1
Latest results of Envigado
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
