Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Palencia M. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/462) | 76% (198/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/462) | 76% (198/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (39/73) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/106) | 61% (46/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Vivas C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez F. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 46', Mayo S. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
- 58', Lopez E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 58', Hurtado W. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 71', Garces J. ↓, Marulanda M. ↑,
- 75', Bolivar J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Monaco M. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 83', Espana Alvarez R. C. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
- 84', Uribe N. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Palacios D. ⚽, Araujo J. (A),
- 90+1', Masllorens J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2ea6b2nt
Chances of winning
Envigado
41.2% | Draw
31.1% | Deportivo La Equidad
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Envigado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(1.94) |
3.03 ↓
(3.4) |
3.39 ↓
(3.85) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 50%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Envigado (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Envigado (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 2.
- Envigado has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- La Equidad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Envigado might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Envigado has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Envigado?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
13.02.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Envigado
2:3
16.07.2024
Envigado
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:1
22.01.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Envigado
0:0
21.07.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Envigado
1:1
28.01.2023
Envigado
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:1
Latest results of Envigado
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
