Atlético Palencia vs Arandina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Atlético Palencia - Arandina
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, de Vicente J. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Sanchez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 81', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Palencia
18.7%
Draw
21.3%
Arandina
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 20.9% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 18.3% 49.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Palencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Palencia - Arandina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.86
    (4)
    4.28
    (4.26)
    1.52
    (1.57)
    9.8%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Arandina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arandina is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Palencia - Arandina were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Arandina - Atlético Palencia 3:2
    29.01.2023 Arandina - Atlético Palencia 1:1
    25.09.2022 Atlético Palencia - Arandina 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Palencia
    Latest results of Arandina
    04.05.2025 Arandina - Becerril 3:4
    20.04.2025 Briviesca - Arandina 2:2
    17.04.2025 Arandina - Mojados 1:1
    13.04.2025 Burgos Promesas - Arandina 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2