Result
4:1
06/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (299/361) | 77% (238/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (299/361) | 77% (238/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (48/74) | 53% (35/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Carranza J. ⚽, Rossano F. (A),
- 29', Robson Bambu 🟨,
- 30', Carranza J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Robson Bambu 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Perez S. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 46', Galdames B. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 57', Carranza J. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 0, Badaloni T. ⚽, Rossano F. (A),
- 61', Almendra A. E. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 0, Pena A. ⚽, Leyva D. (A),
- 73', 4 - 0, Monreal R. ⚽, Rossano F. (A),
- 80', Garcia M. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 80', Meraz R. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
- 80', Duarte A. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 82', Tello I. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 82', Rossano F. ↓, Alonso R. ↑,
- 83', Pena A. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Faravelli L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
38.3% | Draw
28.5% | Atlético San Luis
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa's form might have worsened.Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético San Luis's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Necaxa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Necaxa - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(1.79) |
3.29 ↓
(3.74) |
2.84 ↓
(3.88) |
6.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Atlético San Luis?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Necaxa: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Atlético San Luis (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Necaxa (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 4.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Gutierrez K.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Macias O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Atlético San Luis?
Necaxa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Necaxa?
Atlético San Luis has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
23.12.2025
Necaxa
-
Atlético San Luis
2:0
26.10.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Necaxa
3:4
24.01.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Necaxa
0:3
06.11.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlético San Luis
1:1
08.03.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
