Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Caliente TV |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 0.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
28% | 72% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
77% (182/237) | 89% (532/599) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 0.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.33 | 0.27 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 20 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
77% (182/237) | 89% (532/599) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (30/52) | 42% (14/33) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (41/61) | 78% (170/219) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 16% (5/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.78 | 0.55 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (8/15) | 71% (17/24) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 48 |
Clearances Total |
---|
45 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.27 | 2.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.73 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Zuniga J. ⚽,
- 39', Boya F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alvarez E. ↓, Arciga R. ↑,
- 46', Mora G. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Castaneda K. ⚽,
- 71', Abitia D. ↓, Yan Phillipe ↑,
- 71', Cruz A. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 77', Boya F. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
- 78', Zuniga J. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 81', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
- 86', Inzunza R. ↓, Franco R. ↑,
- 90+4', Sanabria J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tijuana 51.5% | Draw 21.5% | Atlético San Luis 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tijuana - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↓ (2.28) |
4.29 ↑ (4) |
3.51 ↑ (2.62) |
6.7% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Atlético San Luis?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tijuana will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 2.
- Tijuana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Atlético San Luis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tijuana will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Atlético San Luis?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Tijuana?
Atlético San Luis has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
19.07.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Tijuana
1:1
17.02.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Tijuana
3:3
08.10.2023
Tijuana
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
10.02.2023
Tijuana
-
Atlético San Luis
1:0
01.09.2022
Atlético San Luis
-
Tijuana
0:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )