Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (182/237) | 89% (532/599) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (182/237) | 89% (532/599) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 42% (14/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (41/61) | 78% (170/219) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 16% (5/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 45 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Zuniga J. ⚽,
- 39', Boya F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alvarez E. ↓, Arciga R. ↑,
- 46', Mora G. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Castaneda K. ⚽,
- 71', Abitia D. ↓, Yan Phillipe ↑,
- 71', Cruz A. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 77', Boya F. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
- 78', Zuniga J. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 81', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
- 86', Inzunza R. ↓, Franco R. ↑,
- 90+4', Sanabria J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
51.5% | Draw
21.5% | Atlético San Luis
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tijuana - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.28) |
4.29 ↑
(4) |
3.51 ↑
(2.62) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Atlético San Luis?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tijuana will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 2.
- Tijuana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Atlético San Luis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tijuana will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Atlético San Luis?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Tijuana?
Atlético San Luis has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
19.07.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Tijuana
1:1
17.02.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Tijuana
3:3
08.10.2023
Tijuana
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
10.02.2023
Tijuana
-
Atlético San Luis
1:0
01.09.2022
Atlético San Luis
-
Tijuana
0:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Juarez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Atlas | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
