Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Chavez M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (269/321) | 81% (263/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (269/321) | 81% (263/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 49% (26/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (34/56) | 58% (45/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Juanpe ↓, Aguila E. ↑,
- 31', Salles-Lamonge S. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Galdames B. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
- 44', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Blanco D. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Porozo J. ⚽, Mora G. (A),
- 63', Garcia M. ↓, Yan Phillipe ↑,
- 71', Inzunza R. 🟨,
- 78', Castaneda K. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 78', Arciga R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 80', Tona I. ↓, Escamilla K. ↑,
- 80', Inzunza R. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 81', Macias O. ↓, Rodrigo Dourado ↑,
- 82', Perez S. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 84', Galdames B. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
43.7% | Draw
26.1% | Tijuana
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Atlético San Luis - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.19) |
3.57 ↓
(3.62) |
3.05 ↑
(3.03) |
7%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tijuana will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético San Luis: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atlético San Luis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlético San Luis could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
Macias O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Bilbao U.
(Knock)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Tijuana?
Atlético San Luis has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Atlético San Luis?
Tijuana has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Tijuana were as follows:
10.04.2025
Tijuana
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
19.07.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Tijuana
1:1
17.02.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Tijuana
3:3
08.10.2023
Tijuana
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
10.02.2023
Tijuana
-
Atlético San Luis
1:0
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
