Result
0:1
22/10/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Garcia L. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/553) | 78% (249/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/553) | 78% (249/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (105/142) | 61% (46/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Joao Pedro Galvao 🟨,
- 16', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 24', Angulo A. 🟨,
- 30', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Lopez S. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 60', Trigos S. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
- 66', Caicedo J. ↓, Rivas U. ↑,
- 74', Perez S. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Salles-Lamonge S. ⚽,
- 81', Bennevendo P. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 83', Sanabria J. 🟨,
- 88', Juanpe ↓, Guillen D. ↑,
Chances of winning
UNAM
52% | Draw
25.2% | Atlético San Luis
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UNAM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-4%)
UNAM - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.66) |
3.74 ↓
(3.75) |
4.17 ↓
(4.75) |
5.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Atlético San Luis?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
- UNAM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético San Luis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, UNAM is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in UNAM: Martinez G.
(Foot Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe
(Muscle Injury)
Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Macias J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Macias O.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Atlético San Luis?
UNAM has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against UNAM?
Atlético San Luis has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
02.02.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
UNAM
2:3
20.10.2024
UNAM
-
Atlético San Luis
3:0
19.01.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
UNAM
3:1
17.09.2023
UNAM
-
Atlético San Luis
3:2
09.04.2023
UNAM
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
