Jonava vs Atmosfera Mažeikiai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaFutbols TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Fujiyoshi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Jonava
34.3%
Draw
27.7%
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 26.6% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 25.1% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jonava's form might have worsened.
  • Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atmosfera Mažeikiai's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jonava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atmosfera Mažeikiai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.13)
    3.26
    (3.45)
    2.38
    (3.04)
    10.7%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)
    • Jonava is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atmosfera is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Jonava is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:5. (average 3.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jonava won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 5.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai were as follows:
    17.06.2025 Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Jonava 0:1
    Latest results of Jonava
    18.10.2025 Minija Kretinga - Jonava 0:1
    04.10.2025 Jonava - Nevėžis 2:2
    26.09.2025 FA Šiauliai B - Jonava 0:3
    20.09.2025 Jonava - Tauras Tauragė 1:0
    14.09.2025 Panevėžys 2 - Jonava 0:2
    Latest results of Atmosfera Mažeikiai
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1SveikataSiauliai 20 : 5, 2 : 2