Result
2:2
16/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (512/577) | 67% (157/235) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (512/577) | 67% (157/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (36/55) | 27% (16/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (128/168) | 59% (44/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Zuber S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', 1 - 1, Lyratzis L. ⚽, Ivan A. (A),
- 45', Papadopoulos G. 🟨,
- 45+1', Tsingaras T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Ivan A. 🟨,
- 57', Papadopoulos G. ↓, Quini ↑,
- 57', Tsingaras T. ↓, Ukaki E. ↑,
- 63', Ivan A. 🟨,
- 64', Kalinin I. 🟨,
- 68', Baku M. ↓, Pnevmonidis S. ↑,
- 80', Ben Sallam S. ↓, Brooks E. ↑,
- 80', Mountes M. ↓, Tsantilas P. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Moutoussamy S. ⚽,
- 88', Tsaousis M. ↓, Maskanakis A. ↑,
- 88', Omeonga S. ↓, Riera A. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Alex Teixeira ⚽, Maskanakis A. (A),
- 90+5', Alex Teixeira ↓, Karelis N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atromitos Athens
67.9% | Draw
21.6% | Panserraikos
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Panserraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Atromitos Athens - Panserraikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.43) |
4.37 ↑
(4.07) |
8.99 ↑
(7.77) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atromitos Athens - Panserraikos?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atromitos will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atromitos: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atromitos (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Panserraikos (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Atromitos (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atromitos (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Panserraikos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 2.
- Recent performances by Atromitos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Panserraikos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Atromitos is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Atromitos: Koselev A.
(Inactive)
Mansur
(Inactive)
Tsiloulis S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Panserraikos: Karasalidis A.
(Inactive)
Volnei
(Red Card)
Wague M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Panserraikos: Gelashvili I.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atromitos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atromitos Athens won against Panserraikos?
Atromitos Athens has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panserraikos won against Atromitos Athens?
Panserraikos has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atromitos Athens - Panserraikos were as follows:
20.09.2025
Panserraikos
-
Atromitos Athens
1:1
22.02.2025
Atromitos Athens
-
Panserraikos
1:0
09.11.2024
Panserraikos
-
Atromitos Athens
2:3
06.04.2024
Atromitos Athens
-
Panserraikos
1:1
24.02.2024
Panserraikos
-
Atromitos Athens
0:0
Latest results of Atromitos Athens
Latest results of Panserraikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
