Result
1:5
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 9 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 9 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 14 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Slambekov D. ⚽,
- 24', Yakovlev V. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
- 43', Bugulov G. ↓, Mitrofanov D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 5)
- 46', Afanasenko V. ↓, Abubakar R. ↑,
- 56', Terekhov Y. 🟥,
- 63', 1 - 1, Dorofeev K. ⚽,
- 66', Mitrofanov D. ↓, Maulenov D. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Trufanov Y. ⚽, Stasevich I. (A),
- 80', 1 - 3, Dorofeev K. ⚽,
- 81', Dorofeev K. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
- 81', Trufanov Y. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 4, Yudenkov R. ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 5, Zgurskiy L. ⚽,
- 89', Yudenkov R. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
- 90+1', Yusov D. ↓, Shauymbay M. ↑,
- 90+1', Moldakaraev Z. ↓, Tuleev A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ulytau 37.1% | Draw 29% | Atyrau 33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulytau's form might have worsened.Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atyrau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulytau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atyrau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ulytau - Atyrau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.56 ↑ (1.9) |
3.28 ↓ (3.33) |
2.8 ↓ (3.5) |
5.2% (11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atyrau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ulytau might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulytau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulytau won against Atyrau?
Ulytau has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Ulytau?
Atyrau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulytau - Atyrau were as follows:
14.06.2025
Atyrau
-
Ulytau
0:1
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Astana | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 60:26 | 34 | 53 |
2 | Kairat Almaty | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 46:18 | 28 | 52 |
3 | Tobol | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 41:22 | 19 | 50 |
4 | Aktobe | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Yelimay Semey | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
6 | Zhenis | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 34 |
7 | Okzhetpes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
8 | Ordabasy | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 31 |
9 | Kyzylzhar | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 24 |
10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 18:35 | -17 | 21 |
11 | Ulytau | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17:38 | -21 | 21 |
12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
13 | Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:41 | -22 | 18 |
14 | Turan | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:48 | -29 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League