Result
1:5
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Slambekov D. ⚽,
- 24', Yakovlev V. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
- 43', Bugulov G. ↓, Mitrofanov D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 5)
- 46', Afanasenko V. ↓, Abubakar R. ↑,
- 56', Terekhov Y. 🟥,
- 63', 1 - 1, Dorofeev K. ⚽,
- 66', Mitrofanov D. ↓, Maulenov D. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Trufanov Y. ⚽, Stasevich I. (A),
- 80', 1 - 3, Dorofeev K. ⚽,
- 81', Dorofeev K. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
- 81', Trufanov Y. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 4, Yudenkov R. ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 5, Zgurskiy L. ⚽,
- 89', Yudenkov R. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
- 90+1', Yusov D. ↓, Shauymbay M. ↑,
- 90+1', Moldakaraev Z. ↓, Tuleev A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ulytau
37.1% | Draw
29% | Atyrau
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulytau's form might have worsened.Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atyrau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulytau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atyrau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ulytau - Atyrau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(1.9) |
3.28 ↓
(3.33) |
2.8 ↓
(3.5) |
5.2%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atyrau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ulytau might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulytau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulytau won against Atyrau?
Ulytau has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Ulytau?
Atyrau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulytau - Atyrau were as follows:
14.06.2025
Atyrau
-
Ulytau
0:1
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 66:30 | 36 | 57 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 27 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
