Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (247/359) | 68% (205/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (247/359) | 68% (205/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 23% (14/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (65/121) | 57% (54/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (22/33) | 63% (17/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 77 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.40 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Arzani D. 🟨,
- 41', Gallegos L. F. 🟨,
- 44', Paulsen A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Velupillay N. ↓, Inserra J. ↑,
- 46', Valadon J. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Machach Z. ⚽, Valadon J. (A),
- 58', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
- 58', Francois M. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Fornaroli B. ⚽, Valadon J. (A),
- 63', Randall J. ↓, Gillion L. ↑,
- 65', Fornaroli B. 🟨,
- 66', Clarismario ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 75', Rogerson L. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
- 75', Sakai H. ↓, Elliot C. ↑,
- 79', Pijnaker N. 🟨,
- 83', Fornaroli B. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
- 83', Arzani D. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 90+5', Machach Z. ↓, Badolato A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auckland FC
47% | Draw
26.6% | Melbourne Victory
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.12) |
3.54 ↓
(3.63) |
3.58 ↑
(3.23) |
5.8%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Auckland FC will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Auckland is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- Auckland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Melbourne Victory has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Auckland has had a series of away games.
- Auckland could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Injury)
Langerak M.
(Injury)
Traore A.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Auckland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Melbourne Victory?
Auckland FC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Auckland FC?
Melbourne Victory has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
17.05.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Auckland FC
0:1
19.04.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Auckland FC
0:2
31.12.2024
Auckland FC
-
Melbourne Victory
0:0
Latest results of Auckland FC
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
