Result
2:2
11/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 24
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (298/401) | 65% (202/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (298/401) | 65% (202/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 20% (11/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/114) | 50% (63/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/35) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.48 | -1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Davidson J. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Lino F. ⚽, Genreau D. (A),
- 35', Pijnaker N. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
- 38', Brook L. 🟨,
- 41', Verstraete L. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Cosgrove S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 2, Velupillay N. ⚽,
- 59', Verstraete L. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
- 59', Randall J. ↓, Fitzharris V. ↑,
- 60', Valadon J. ↓, D'Arrigo L. ↑,
- 74', Grimaldi M. ↓, Dragicevic O. ↑,
- 75', Velupillay N. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 79', Genreau D. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 2, Brook L. ⚽,
- 87', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Bidois J. ↑,
- 87', Vicelich L. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
- 88', Corica S. 🟥,
- 90+2', Lino F. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 90+2', Jelacic K. ↓, Jackson L. ↑,
- 90+5', Bidois J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Jackson L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Auckland FC
42.1% | Draw
24.8% | Melbourne Victory
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auckland FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auckland FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.05) |
3.82 ↑
(3.52) |
2.9 ↓
(3.23) |
5.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Auckland will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Melbourne Victory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.
- Auckland will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Auckland: De Vries F.
(Calf Injury)
Knowles J.
(Hip Injury)
Middleton O.
(Knee Injury)
Rutherford R.
(Knee Injury)
Sail O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Reec J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Melbourne Victory: Esposito S.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auckland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Melbourne Victory?
Auckland FC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Auckland FC?
Melbourne Victory has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
18.10.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Auckland FC
0:0
24.05.2025
Auckland FC
-
Melbourne Victory
0:2
17.05.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Auckland FC
0:1
19.04.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Auckland FC
0:2
31.12.2024
Auckland FC
-
Melbourne Victory
0:0
Latest results of Auckland FC
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
