Result
4:2
03/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 29
- Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (276/374) | 77% (369/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (276/374) | 77% (369/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 47% (33/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/93) | 45% (40/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (13/30) | 61% (17/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 82 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 3.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Ruhs M. ⚽, Botic N. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Botic N. ⚽, Garuccio B. (A),
- 30', De Vries F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 46', Francois M. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 46', De Vries F. ↓, Elliot C. ↑,
- 46', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 0, Thurgate A. ⚽,
- 57', Ruhs M. 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 1, Moreno N. ⚽, Sakai H. (A),
- 70', Mata M. A. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
- 72', Danzaki R. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
- 72', Ruhs M. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
- 74', Thurgate A. 🟨,
- 78', Walatee A. 🟨,
- 81', Pijnaker N. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
- 83', Thurgate A. ↓, Shamoon C. A. ↑,
- 85', Grimaldi M. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Randall J. ⚽, Moreno N. (A),
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Lavale O. ⚽, Najjarine R. (A),
Chances of winning
Western United
40.8% | Draw
26.3% | Auckland FC
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United's form might have worsened.Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auckland FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Western United - Auckland FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.97) |
3.64 ↓
(3.95) |
2.93 ↓
(3.39) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Western United - Auckland FC?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Auckland will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Auckland is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- Western United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Auckland is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Western United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Western United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Auckland: Bidois J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Western United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Western United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Auckland FC?
Western United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Western United?
Auckland FC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Western United - Auckland FC were as follows:
15.02.2025
Western United
-
Auckland FC
0:2
20.12.2024
Auckland FC
-
Western United
0:4
Latest results of Western United
Latest results of Auckland FC
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
