Result
1:1
17/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (406/482) | 79% (303/384) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (406/482) | 79% (303/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 26% (13/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/107) | 63% (51/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 59% (16/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Gallegos L. F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Francois M. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
- 53', Brook L. ↓, May G. ↑,
- 54', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
- 59', Cosgrove S. 🟨,
- 63', Cosgrove S. ↓, Pijnaker N. ↑,
- 73', Campuzano V. ↓, Hollman C. ↑,
- 77', Arslan A. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- 77', Lolley J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Popovic A. ⚽, Quispe Cordova P. A. (A),
- 89', Sakai H. ↓, Elliot C. ↑,
- 90+1', Quispe Cordova P. A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Courtney-Perkins J. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Grant A. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Sydney
34% | Draw
26.8% | Auckland FC
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney's form might have worsened.Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auckland FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auckland FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sydney - Auckland FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.23) |
3.51 ↑
(3.42) |
2.42 ↓
(2.91) |
5.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sydney - Auckland FC?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Auckland will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 31.8% – 72.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Auckland (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Sydney (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Sydney (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Sydney (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Auckland (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Auckland (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Sydney has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Auckland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sydney has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Sydney: Okon-Engstler P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Auckland FC?
Sydney has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Sydney?
Auckland FC has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Auckland FC were as follows:
06.02.2026
Auckland FC
-
Sydney
1:0
23.08.2025
Sydney
-
Auckland FC
1:2
12.04.2025
Sydney
-
Auckland FC
2:2
26.10.2024
Auckland FC
-
Sydney
1:0
Latest results of Auckland FC
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
