Result
1:3
20/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (436/510) | 83% (270/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 3.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (436/510) | 83% (270/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (141/191) | 70% (54/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.19 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Ramiro J. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
- 46', Monteiro E. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 46', Cucurs D. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 53', 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Lizunovs V. (Pen),
- 57', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 62', Kane M. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 62', Fofana W. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
- 63', Konate F. P. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 2, Lizunovs V. (Pen),
- 65', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 73', Erquiaga I. ↓, Hrvoj T. ↑,
- 78', Nguena K. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
- 78', Promise V. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Diallo B. ⚽, Lizunovs V. (A),
- 90', Williams W. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Traore A. ⚽, Hrvoj T. (A),
Chances of winning
Auda Riga
66.9% | Draw
20.2% | BFC Daugavpils
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.4) |
4.55 ↑
(4.48) |
7.12 ↑
(6.04) |
9%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Auda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Auda is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Auda won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against BFC Daugavpils?
Auda Riga has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Auda Riga?
BFC Daugavpils has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
20.05.2025
Auda Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
04.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Auda Riga
2:1
26.10.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Auda Riga
1:2
04.08.2024
Auda Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:0
28.05.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Auda Riga
0:3
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
