Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (253/320) | 84% (331/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (253/320) | 84% (331/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (38/74) | 67% (35/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (68/104) | 74% (118/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 26% (10/38) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Fofana W. ⚽, Kumater S. (A),
- 16', Daskevics E. 🟨,
- 27', Kragliks R. 🟨,
- 43', Minins J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Kumater S. 🟨,
- 70', Monteiro E. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 70', Hrvoj T. ↓, Ogunji A. ↑,
- 73', Nguena K. 🟨,
- 75', Lizunovs V. ↓, Mihalcovs G. ↑,
- 81', Kragliks R. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 83', Erquiaga I. 🟨,
- 90', Jeudi S. 🟨,
- 90', Kudelkins A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
35.8% | Draw
27.7% | Auda Riga
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFC Daugavpils's performance.Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auda Riga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3) |
3.51 ↑
(3.35) |
2.66 ↑
(2.16) |
2.9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Daugavpils (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Daugavpils may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Auda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Auda Riga?
BFC Daugavpils has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against BFC Daugavpils?
Auda Riga has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga were as follows:
20.07.2025
Auda Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:3
20.05.2025
Auda Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
04.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Auda Riga
2:1
26.10.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Auda Riga
1:2
04.08.2024
Auda Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 81:21 | 60 | 86 |
| 2 | RFS | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 88:35 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 47 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 37:62 | -25 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 30 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Metta | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 31:69 | -38 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
