Result
1:3
20/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 2.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Passes |
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85% (436/510) | 83% (270/327) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 2.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.87 | 3.19 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
13 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
48 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 11 |
Passes |
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85% (436/510) | 83% (270/327) |
Long passes |
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66% (21/32) | 54% (25/46) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (141/191) | 70% (54/77) |
Crosses |
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28% (7/25) | 33% (5/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.16 | 0.94 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 9 |
Tackles |
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67% (8/12) | 43% (3/7) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 37 |
Clearances |
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15 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.19 | 0.87 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.19 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Ramiro J. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
- 46', Monteiro E. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 46', Cucurs D. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 53', 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Lizunovs V. (Pen),
- 57', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 62', Kane M. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 62', Fofana W. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
- 63', Konate F. P. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 2, Lizunovs V. (Pen),
- 65', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 73', Erquiaga I. ↓, Hrvoj T. ↑,
- 78', Nguena K. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
- 78', Promise V. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Diallo B. ⚽, Lizunovs V. (A),
- 90', Williams W. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Traore A. ⚽, Hrvoj T. (A),
Chances of winning
Auda Riga 66.9% | Draw 20.2% | BFC Daugavpils 12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↓ (1.4) |
4.55 ↑ (4.48) |
7.12 ↑ (6.04) |
9% (10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Auda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Auda is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Auda won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against BFC Daugavpils?
Auda Riga has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Auda Riga?
BFC Daugavpils has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
20.05.2025
Auda Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
04.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Auda Riga
2:1
26.10.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Auda Riga
1:2
04.08.2024
Auda Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:0
28.05.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Auda Riga
0:3
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga