Result
0:1
01/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (322/405) | 84% (400/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (322/405) | 84% (400/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (67/89) | 72% (108/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 19% (6/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Maslovs R. 🟨,
- 28', Zengis R. 🟨,
- 31', Rubenis O. 🟨,
- 43', Hrvoj T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, Varslavans R. ⚽,
- 63', Kone K. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 64', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
- 64', Maslovs R. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
- 75', Glaudans A. ↓, Grikovs A. ↑,
- 76', Varslavans R. ↓, Kane M. ↑,
- 81', Grikovs A. 🟨,
- 82', Rubenis O. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 83', Monteiro E. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
- 85', Zengis R. ↓, Dione M. ↑,
- 85', Tihonovics M. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
23.4% | Draw
26.3% | Auda Riga
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Super Nova - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.94 ↑
(3.75) |
3.5 ↓
(3.7) |
1.83 ↑
(1.74) |
8.5%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Auda Riga?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Super Nova will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Auda will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 54.7% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Auda Riga will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
- Recent form of Super Nova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Auda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Auda could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Auda Riga?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Super Nova?
Auda Riga has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Auda Riga were as follows:
11.05.2025
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
1:1
02.09.2023
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
1:0
25.06.2023
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
0:5
02.05.2023
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
0:2
11.03.2023
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
2:0
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
