Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 10
- Referee: Alveal F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (238/309) | 82% (298/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (238/309) | 82% (298/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 29% (14/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/98) | 69% (59/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽, Chamorro F. (A),
- 11', Diaz S. 🟨,
- 14', Chamorro F. 🟨,
- 16', Matus E. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 1, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Riveros L. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
- 62', Guajardo P. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 75', Collao M. ↓, Sandoval Molina M. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', Ovando L. ↓, Gallegos S. ↑,
- 81', Sandoval Molina M. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
- 85', Vargas J. 🟨,
- 90', Ramirez M. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
- 90', Chamorro F. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
- 90+1', Ferrario E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Vargas J. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 90+5', Henriquez A. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Guiffrey G. ⚽, Valencia Rossel L. (A),
Chances of winning
Audax Italiano
52.7% | Draw
26.1% | Deportes La Serena
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78
(1.78) |
3.62 ↓
(3.65) |
4.51 ↑
(4.25) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Audax Italiano is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Deportes La Serena?
Audax Italiano has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Audax Italiano?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
06.11.2022
Audax Italiano
-
Deportes La Serena
3:0
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 30 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
| 7 | Colo Colo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | Nublense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Union La Calera | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Everton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 18 |
| 13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
| 14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
