Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 16
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/310) | 72% (223/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/310) | 72% (223/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 53% (32/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 24', Munoz C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
- 46', Munoz C. ↓, Pina D. ↑,
- 53', Ferrario E. 🟨,
- 63', Rojas Munoz O. J. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
- 64', Montes C. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
- 77', Bello E. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 77', Valencia J. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
- 78', Orellana N. ↓, Gil Romero G. ↑,
- 82', Fuentes M. ↓, Troyansky F. ↑,
- 83', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 83', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 90', Valencia D. ↓, Asta-Buruaga T. ↑,
- 90+3', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zampedri F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Riep A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Medel G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Audax Italiano
34.3% | Draw
29.9% | Universidad Católica
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)The chances for Universidad Católica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.64) |
3.14 ↓
(3.26) |
2.63 ↑
(2.62) |
6.6%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 3.
- Audax Italiano has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Audax Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Universidad Católica?
Audax Italiano has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Audax Italiano?
Universidad Católica has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica were as follows:
17.02.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Audax Italiano
3:1
18.08.2024
Audax Italiano
-
Universidad Católica
2:1
17.03.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Audax Italiano
0:0
05.08.2023
Universidad Católica
-
Audax Italiano
0:2
07.03.2023
Audax Italiano
-
Universidad Católica
3:2
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 33:11 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 33 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 28 |
| 10 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
