Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 16
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 0.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
78% (242/310) | 72% (223/309) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 0.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.82 | 1.07 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
78% (242/310) | 72% (223/309) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (28/60) | 39% (24/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (49/91) | 53% (32/60) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 31% (5/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.22 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (15/22) | 81% (13/16) |
Duels won |
---|
62 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.07 | 0.82 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.07 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 24', Munoz C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
- 46', Munoz C. ↓, Pina D. ↑,
- 53', Ferrario E. 🟨,
- 63', Rojas Munoz O. J. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
- 64', Montes C. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
- 77', Bello E. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 77', Valencia J. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
- 78', Orellana N. ↓, Gil Romero G. ↑,
- 82', Fuentes M. ↓, Troyansky F. ↑,
- 83', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 83', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 90', Valencia D. ↓, Asta-Buruaga T. ↑,
- 90+3', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zampedri F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Riep A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Medel G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Audax Italiano 34.3% | Draw 29.9% | Universidad Católica 35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)The chances for Universidad Católica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.73 ↑ (2.64) |
3.14 ↓ (3.26) |
2.63 ↑ (2.62) |
6.6% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 3.
- Audax Italiano has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Audax Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Universidad Católica?
Audax Italiano has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Audax Italiano?
Universidad Católica has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica were as follows:
17.02.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Audax Italiano
3:1
18.08.2024
Audax Italiano
-
Universidad Católica
2:1
17.03.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Audax Italiano
0:0
05.08.2023
Universidad Católica
-
Audax Italiano
0:2
07.03.2023
Audax Italiano
-
Universidad Católica
3:2
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
5 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
6 | O'Higgins | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Colo Colo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 25 |
9 | Union La Calera | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Everton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 18 |
13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso