Universidad Católica vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Max Sport 4, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2, ESPN 5
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.750.68
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
34
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
62
Passes
84% (318/378)86% (422/488)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
0.750.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.38
Total shots
108
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1213
Passes
84% (318/378)86% (422/488)
Long passes
57% (24/42)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
67% (66/99)62% (41/66)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.65
Throw ins
1713
Fouls
1312
Tackles
53% (9/17)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.380.90
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Zampedri F. 🟨,
  • 10', Paredes L. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Paredes L. ,
  • 32', Valencia J. 🟨,
  • 39', Blanco L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Medel G. , Zuqui F. ,
  • 52', Zuqui F. 🟨,
  • 56', Montes C. , Palavecino M. ,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Bareiro A. , Blanco L. (A),
  • 70', Miguel Merentiel , Herrera A. ,
  • 77', Weigandt M. , Barinaga J. ,
  • 77', Bareiro A. , Gimenez M. ,
  • 78', Cuevas C. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Diaz J. ,
  • 88', Valencia J. , Valencia D. ,
  • 88', Cuevas C. , Martinez J. A. ,
  • 90+3', Gonzalez D. , Corral D. ,
  • 90+4', Aranda T. , Pellegrino M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universidad Católica
26.4%
Draw
30.7%
Boca Juniors
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 30.1% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 29.8% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Universidad Católica - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (3.55)
    3.09
    (3.09)
    2.19
    (2.14)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Boca Juniors might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Marchesin A. (Injury) Zeballos E. (Hamstring Injury) Zufiaurre I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Uni Católica: Farias A. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ22006:156
    2Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Deportes Tolima31114:314
    3Coquimbo31113:4-14
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro32013:216
    2Boca Juniors32015:236
    3U. Catolica21013:303
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense21012:3-13
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe20111:3-21


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras21103:214
    3Cerro Porteno21011:103
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus32012:116
    2LDU Quito32013:126
    3Mirassol21011:2-13
    4Always Ready20020:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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