Augsburg vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 11
  • Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.23
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
85% (357/419)83% (374/450)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.680.38
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2627
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
27
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (357/419)83% (374/450)
Long passes
46% (22/48)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
75% (97/130)63% (51/81)
Crosses
28% (5/18)57% (12/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.77
Throw-ins
1324
Fouls
1310
Tackles
79% (11/14)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.381.68
Goals prevented
0.380.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
  • 38', Capaldo N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 64', Komur M. , Essende S. ,
  • 64', Claude-Maurice A. , Saad E. ,
  • 72', Vieira F. , Philippe R. ,
  • 73', Massengo H. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Kade A. , Giannoulis D. (A),
  • 81', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
  • 82', Torunarigha J. , Glatzel R. ,
  • 82', Gocholeishvili G. , Rossing-Lelesiit A. ,
  • 83', Rieder F. , Zesiger C. ,
  • 85', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
  • 86', Lokonga A. S. , Pherai I. ,
  • 86', Capaldo N. , Ramos G. ,

Chances of winning


Augsburg
41%
Draw
26.9%
Hamburger SV
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 26.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 26% 32.5%

Augsburg - Hamburger SV Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.36
(2.32)
3.63
(3.66)
2.98
(2.92)
3.4%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 35.1%72.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Augsburg (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.
    • Augsburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Jakic K. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
    Latest results of Augsburg
    09.11.2025 Stuttgart - Augsburg 3:2
    28.10.2025 Augsburg - Bochum 0:1
    25.10.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:6
    18.10.2025 Köln - Augsburg 1:1
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich18162071:145750
    2Dortmund18116135:171839
    3Hoffenheim17103435:211433
    4Stuttgart18103533:26733
    5RB Leipzig17102533:24932
    6Bayer Leverkusen1792634:25929
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1876538:39-127
    8Freiburg1866629:31-224
    9Union Berlin1866624:27-324
    10FC Koln1855827:30-320
    11B. Monchengladbach1855823:29-620
    12Wolfsburg1854927:38-1119
    13Werder Bremen1746721:34-1318
    14Hamburger SV1745817:27-1017
    15Augsburg18441020:35-1516
    16Heidenheim18341117:39-2213
    17Mainz18261018:31-1312
    18St. Pauli17331116:31-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga