Augsburg vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 11
  • Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.23
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
85% (357/419)83% (374/450)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.680.38
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2627
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
27
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (357/419)83% (374/450)
Long passes
46% (22/48)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
75% (97/130)63% (51/81)
Crosses
28% (5/18)57% (12/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.77
Throw-ins
1324
Fouls
1310
Tackles
79% (11/14)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.381.68
Goals prevented
0.380.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
  • 38', Capaldo N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 64', Komur M. , Essende S. ,
  • 64', Claude-Maurice A. , Saad E. ,
  • 72', Vieira F. , Philippe R. ,
  • 73', Massengo H. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Kade A. , Giannoulis D. (A),
  • 81', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
  • 82', Torunarigha J. , Glatzel R. ,
  • 82', Gocholeishvili G. , Rossing-Lelesiit A. ,
  • 83', Rieder F. , Zesiger C. ,
  • 85', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
  • 86', Lokonga A. S. , Pherai I. ,
  • 86', Capaldo N. , Ramos G. ,

Chances of winning


Augsburg
41%
Draw
26.9%
Hamburger SV
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 26.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 26% 32.5%

Augsburg - Hamburger SV Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.36
(2.32)
3.63
(3.66)
2.98
(2.92)
3.4%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 35.1%72.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.
    • Augsburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Jakic K. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
    Latest results of Augsburg
    09.11.2025 Stuttgart - Augsburg 3:2
    28.10.2025 Augsburg - Bochum 0:1
    25.10.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:6
    18.10.2025 Köln - Augsburg 1:1
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga