Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 6 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (335/395) | 79% (282/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (335/395) | 79% (282/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 41% (21/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (81/118) | 66% (79/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Arthur Chaves ⚽,
- 41', Otele P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Otele P. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
- 55', Torunarigha J. 🟨,
- 59', Rieder F. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Glatzel R. (A),
- 64', Muheim M. 🟥,
- 67', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
- 67', Glatzel R. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,
- 80', Kade A. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
- 80', Fellhauer R. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
- 81', Zesiger C. 🟨,
- 86', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
- 90', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
- 90+4', Philippe R. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
39.8% | Draw
27.7% | Augsburg
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Hamburger SV - Augsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.24) |
3.44 ↓
(3.47) |
2.95 ↓
(3.15) |
4.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Augsburg?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Augsburg will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Hamburg (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Hamburg (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Hamburg (3.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Augsburg (3.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Augsburg (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.
- Recent form of Hamburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Augsburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hamburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hamburg: Capaldo N.
(Abdominal strain)
Dompe J.
(Foot Injury)
Jatta B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Thigh Injury)
Remberg N.
(Yellow Cards)
Rossing-Lelesiit A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Augsburg: Keitel Y.
(Knee Injury)
Matsima C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Augsburg?
Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Hamburger SV?
Augsburg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Augsburg were as follows:
22.11.2025
Augsburg
-
Hamburger SV
1:0
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Augsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
