Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 11
- Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (357/419) | 83% (374/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (357/419) | 83% (374/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 44% (17/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (97/130) | 63% (51/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 57% (12/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
- 38', Capaldo N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Remberg N. 🟨,
- 64', Komur M. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
- 64', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
- 72', Vieira F. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
- 73', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Kade A. ⚽, Giannoulis D. (A),
- 81', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
- 82', Torunarigha J. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
- 82', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
- 83', Rieder F. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
- 85', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
- 86', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
- 86', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Augsburg
41% | Draw
26.9% | Hamburger SV
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Augsburg - Hamburger SV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.32) |
3.63 ↓
(3.66) |
2.98 ↑
(2.92) |
3.4%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Hamburger SV?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 35.1% – 72.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Augsburg (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.
- Augsburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J.
(Knee Injury)
Jakic K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D.
(Groin Injury)
Omari W.
(Knee Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Hamburger SV?
Augsburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Augsburg?
Hamburger SV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Hamburger SV were as follows:
Latest results of Augsburg
Latest results of Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 40 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
