Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Sports 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (273/365) | 81% (330/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (273/365) | 81% (330/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (30/79) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (76/125) | 58% (59/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Zesiger C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 0, Kaufmann M. ⚽, Conteh S. (A),
- 51', Rieder F. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 0, Conteh S. ⚽, Kaufmann M. (A),
- 59', Fellhauer R. ↓, Giannoulis D. ↑,
- 59', Zesiger C. ↓, Banks N. ↑,
- 59', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
- 67', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
- 67', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
- 67', Mainka P. 🟨,
- 68', Conteh S. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
- 68', Kaufmann M. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
- 68', Wolf M. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
- 73', Essende S. 🟨,
- 75', Niehues J. ↓, Kolle A. ↑,
- 77', Matsima C. 🟨,
- 84', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
- 89', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Gimber B. ↑,
- 89', Dorsch N. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Tietz P. ⚽, Rieder F. (A),
Chances of winning
Heidenheim
33.5% | Draw
27.5% | Augsburg
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Heidenheim - Augsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.68) |
3.51 ↑
(3.45) |
2.47 ↓
(2.57) |
3.6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Augsburg?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Augsburg will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F.
(Knee Injury)
Keller T.
(Knee Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
Pieringer M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zivzivadze B.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heidenheim: Honsak M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Augsburg?
Heidenheim has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Heidenheim?
Augsburg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Augsburg were as follows:
25.01.2025
Augsburg
-
Heidenheim
2:1
01.09.2024
Heidenheim
-
Augsburg
4:0
09.03.2024
Augsburg
-
Heidenheim
1:0
22.10.2023
Heidenheim
-
Augsburg
2:5
16.12.2022
Augsburg
-
Heidenheim
2:0
Latest results of Heidenheim
Latest results of Augsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
