Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 7
- Referee: Arteaga C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 1.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
71% (178/251) | 88% (448/512) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 1.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.04 | 1.84 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
71% (178/251) | 88% (448/512) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (24/53) | 70% (42/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (54/84) | 74% (98/132) |
Crosses |
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24% (5/21) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 1.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (3/5) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
---|
23 | 28 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.84 | 0.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.16 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Romero D. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
- 29', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 37', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Torrico J. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
- 57', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 62', Velasquez J. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
- 62', Romero D. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
- 63', Torrico D. 🟨,
- 68', Sanchez A. ↓, Reinoso J. ↑,
- 68', Robles D. ↓, Vaca O. ↑,
- 78', Sagredo J. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Rocha Y. ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
- 82', Ortega M. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
- 82', Escobar R. ↓, Mendoza M. ↑,
- 83', Vaca R. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 86', Vaca O. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ramallo R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rivero E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aurora 26.9% | Draw 24.8% | Bolívar 48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurora's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aurora - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.41 ↑ (2.55) |
3.73 ↑ (3.65) |
1.95 ↓ (2.45) |
7.3% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Aurora - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bolívar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Aurora (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:46. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Bolívar?
Aurora has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Aurora?
Bolívar has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Bolívar were as follows:
28.02.2025
Bolívar
-
Aurora
5:1
19.10.2024
Bolívar
-
Aurora
0:1
22.05.2024
Aurora
-
Bolívar
1:1
14.12.2023
Aurora
-
Bolívar
1:0
11.12.2023
Bolívar
-
Aurora
3:1
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | The Strongest | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:30 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Bolivar | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 34 |
4 | Blooming | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 34 |
5 | GV San Jose | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
6 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 25 |
7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Independiente | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 20 |
10 | Real Oruro | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:32 | -9 | 20 |
12 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
13 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
15 | Wilstermann | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 7 |
16 | Aurora | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation