Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 7
- Referee: Arteaga C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (178/251) | 88% (448/512) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (178/251) | 88% (448/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 70% (42/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (54/84) | 74% (98/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Romero D. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
- 29', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 37', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Torrico J. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
- 57', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 62', Velasquez J. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
- 62', Romero D. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
- 63', Torrico D. 🟨,
- 68', Sanchez A. ↓, Reinoso J. ↑,
- 68', Robles D. ↓, Vaca O. ↑,
- 78', Sagredo J. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Rocha Y. ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
- 82', Ortega M. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
- 82', Escobar R. ↓, Mendoza M. ↑,
- 83', Vaca R. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 86', Vaca O. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ramallo R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rivero E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aurora
26.9% | Draw
24.8% | Bolívar
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurora's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aurora - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.55) |
3.73 ↑
(3.65) |
1.95 ↓
(2.45) |
7.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Aurora - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bolívar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Aurora (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:46. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Bolívar?
Aurora has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Aurora?
Bolívar has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Bolívar were as follows:
28.02.2025
Bolívar
-
Aurora
5:1
19.10.2024
Bolívar
-
Aurora
0:1
22.05.2024
Aurora
-
Bolívar
1:1
14.12.2023
Aurora
-
Bolívar
1:0
11.12.2023
Bolívar
-
Aurora
3:1
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 60:22 | 38 | 49 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 53:34 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 50:23 | 27 | 40 |
| 4 | Blooming | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | SA Bulo Bulo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37:35 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 28 |
| 7 | Independiente | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 35:40 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 21:33 | -12 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 21 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16:47 | -31 | 8 |
| 16 | Aurora | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
