Result
2:4
26/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (354/435) | 68% (169/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (354/435) | 68% (169/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (87/125) | 64% (63/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (7/42) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.55 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', Rivera A. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Ballivian R. ⚽, Torrico J. (A),
- 33', Rivera E. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 2, Robles D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Sejas C. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 46', Perea M. ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
- 46', Rivera A. ↓, Castellon D. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Ubah B. ⚽, Thomaz (A),
- 52', 1 - 3, Escobar R. ⚽, Torrico J. (A),
- 55', 1 - 4, Escobar R. ⚽,
- 64', Torrico J. 🟨,
- 67', Escobar R. 🟨,
- 71', Cardozo R. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
- 75', Escobar R. ↓, Mendoza M. ↑,
- 78', Cristaldo G. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
- 78', Villalba D. ↓, Chajtur M. ↑,
- 79', Vaca O. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
- 85', Sanchez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 4, Ubah B. ⚽, Aguilera D. (A),
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
42.2% | Draw
26.4% | Aurora
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Independiente Petroleros - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.07) |
3.52 ↓
(3.6) |
2.89 ↓
(3.15) |
8.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Aurora?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
- Recent form of Ind Petroleros has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aurora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Aurora?
Independiente Petroleros has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Independiente Petroleros?
Aurora has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Aurora were as follows:
31.10.2024
Aurora
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:0
21.07.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Aurora
2:1
18.04.2024
Aurora
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:4
15.04.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Aurora
0:1
05.08.2023
Independiente Petroleros
-
Aurora
1:1
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | The Strongest | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 49:29 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 50:21 | 29 | 37 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 33 |
| 4 | Blooming | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34:24 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 30:26 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Guabira | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Real Oruro | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 20 |
| 10 | Universitario de Vinto | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:35 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Academia del Balompie | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:30 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 17 |
| 14 | Independiente | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:34 | -13 | 15 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11:36 | -25 | 6 |
| 16 | Aurora | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
