Aurora vs Independiente Petroleros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba).

Division Profesional - Round 24
Referee: Quintanilla J. (Bol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.45
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
18	13
Shots on target
11	7
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
83% (280/339)	85% (379/445)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	2.61
Total shots
18	13
Shots on target
11	7
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
31	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
83% (280/339)	85% (379/445)
Long passes
51% (29/57)	72% (47/65)
Passes in final third
69% (88/128)	77% (69/90)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.98	0.73
Throw-ins
20	19
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
86% (12/14)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
38	26
Clearances
20	22
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	9
xGOT faced
2.61	1.29
Goals prevented
-0.39	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Gonzales M. 🟥,
40', 1 - 0, Sanchez H. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
45+2', Torrico D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Cristaldo G. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
46', Willie ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
46', Verdun J. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
54', Vidaurre I. ↓, Justiniano G. ↑,
64', Fernandez A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Wesley ⚽, Amarilla A. (A),
76', Medina A. ↓, Morales D. ↑,
77', Martinez Y. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Mercado A. ⚽, Rivera A. (A),
81', Mercado A. 🟨,
84', Amarilla A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
84', Terrazas A. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
86', Vedia C. ↓, Zamora R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Villalba D. ⚽, Morales D. (A),
90+6', Morales D. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 3, Villalba D. ⚽, Morales D. (A),

Chances of winning

Aurora
60%

Draw
21.8%

Independiente Petroleros
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

21.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

16.2%

24.3%

Aurora - Independiente Petroleros Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)	4.2 ↓ (4.38)	4.98 ↑ (4.96)	9.7% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Aurora - Independiente Petroleros?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Petroleros (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 3.
In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ind Petroleros has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ind Petroleros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Independiente Petroleros?

Aurora has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Aurora?

Independiente Petroleros has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:

26.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 2:4

31.10.2024 Aurora - Independiente Petroleros 2:0

21.07.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 2:1

18.04.2024 Aurora - Independiente Petroleros 2:4

15.04.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 0:1

Latest results of Aurora

31.10.2025 Blooming - Aurora 4:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Aurora - Guabirá 4:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Aurora - Always Ready 1:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Guabirá - Aurora 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Always Ready - Aurora 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Petroleros

30.10.2025 Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros 3:6 ✺

27.10.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros 3:1 ✺

24.10.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar 0:3 ✺

17.10.2025 The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros 3:1 ✺

12.10.2025 Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1:3 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready ✔	28	21	5	2	83:29	54	68
2	Bolivar	28	19	5	4	74:31	43	62
3	The Strongest	28	20	1	7	71:46	25	61
4	SA Bulo Bulo	28	12	7	9	57:46	11	43
5	Blooming	28	13	4	11	51:54	-3	43
6	Guabira	28	12	4	12	57:57	0	40
7	Independiente	28	11	6	11	48:53	-5	39
8	GV San Jose	29	11	5	13	41:50	-9	38
9	Nacional Potosi	28	10	7	11	48:40	8	37
10	Oriente Petrolero	28	9	6	13	42:50	-8	33
11	Tomayapo	28	8	8	12	39:52	-13	32
12	Real Oruro	28	8	7	13	56:59	-3	31
13	Universitario de Vinto	28	6	8	14	30:52	-22	26
14	Academia del Balompie	28	5	8	15	26:59	-33	23
15	Wilstermann	29	4	7	18	30:65	-35	19
16	Aurora ✔	28	10	4	14	49:59	-10	1

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Always Ready is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Aurora is Relegated to