Result
2:3
03/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 24
- Referee: Quintanilla J. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (280/339) | 85% (379/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (280/339) | 85% (379/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 72% (47/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (88/128) | 77% (69/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Gonzales M. 🟥,
- 40', 1 - 0, Sanchez H. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
- 45+2', Torrico D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Cristaldo G. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 46', Willie ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
- 46', Verdun J. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
- 54', Vidaurre I. ↓, Justiniano G. ↑,
- 64', Fernandez A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Wesley ⚽, Amarilla A. (A),
- 76', Medina A. ↓, Morales D. ↑,
- 77', Martinez Y. 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 1, Mercado A. ⚽, Rivera A. (A),
- 81', Mercado A. 🟨,
- 84', Amarilla A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
- 84', Terrazas A. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 86', Vedia C. ↓, Zamora R. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Villalba D. ⚽, Morales D. (A),
- 90+6', Morales D. 🟨,
- 90+10', 2 - 3, Villalba D. ⚽, Morales D. (A),
Chances of winning
Aurora
60% | Draw
21.8% | Independiente Petroleros
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aurora - Independiente Petroleros Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.53) |
4.2 ↓
(4.38) |
4.98 ↑
(4.96) |
9.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Aurora - Independiente Petroleros?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Petroleros (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 3.
- In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ind Petroleros has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ind Petroleros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Independiente Petroleros?
Aurora has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Aurora?
Independiente Petroleros has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:
26.05.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Aurora
2:4
31.10.2024
Aurora
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:0
21.07.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Aurora
2:1
18.04.2024
Aurora
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:4
15.04.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Aurora
0:1
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 67:23 | 44 | 58 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 64:39 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 63:25 | 38 | 52 |
| 4 | Blooming | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 41:41 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | -1 | 34 |
| 6 | Independiente | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:48 | -7 | 33 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 43:40 | 3 | 31 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 31 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 30 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19:54 | -35 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
