Aurora vs Nacional Potosí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba).

Division Profesional - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.97	0.49
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
10	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
85% (375/442)	80% (251/314)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.52	0.18
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
10	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
10	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
23	15
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	6
Free Kicks
10	12
Passes
85% (375/442)	80% (251/314)
Long passes
61% (36/59)	45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
71% (104/146)	58% (47/81)
Crosses
23% (7/30)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.39
Throw-ins
21	14
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
87% (13/15)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
39	33
Clearances
8	38
Interceptions
4	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	8
xGOT faced
0.18	1.52
Goals prevented
-1.82	0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Zeballos L. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nunez M. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
46', Fernandez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
58', Ballivian R. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
58', Torrico D. ↓, Justiniano G. ↑,
59', Baldomar O. 🟨,
59', Ramallo R. 🟨,
59', Zeballos L. ↓, Torrico A. ↑,
59', Torres S. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
63', Restrepo E. ↓, Amarilla N. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Torrico A. ⚽,
66', Terrazas A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
72', Alvarez W. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
81', Amarilla A. 🟨,
85', Ramallo R. (Pen),
90+3', 1 - 2, Ramallo R. ⚽,
90+5', Palacio D. 🟨,
90+9', Galindo P. 🟨,
90+9', Verdun J. 🟨,
90+10', Torrico J. 🟨,
90+11', Viviani L. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Aurora
57.4%

Draw
23.1%

Nacional Potosí
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Nacional Potosí have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Aurora - Nacional Potosí Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.62)	4.04 ↑ (3.89)	4.7 (4.7)	7.8% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Aurora - Nacional Potosí?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 50%). Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Aurora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Nacional Potosí?

Aurora has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Aurora?

Nacional Potosí has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Nacional Potosí were as follows:

16.05.2025 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 3:1

17.12.2024 Aurora - Nacional Potosí 1:1

14.09.2024 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 1:3

13.03.2024 Aurora - Nacional Potosí 4:1

03.03.2024 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 1:0

Latest results of Aurora

19.09.2025 Aurora - Real Tomayapo 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Real Oruro - Aurora 5:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Aurora - The Strongest 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora 1:3 ✺

23.08.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Aurora 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Nacional Potosí

24.09.2025 Nacional Potosí - GVCD San José 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí 2:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí 2:5 ✺

13.09.2025 Nacional Potosí - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros 0:3 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	17	4	2	66:23	43	55
2	The Strongest	23	17	1	5	62:38	24	52
3	Bolivar	22	14	4	4	54:24	30	46
4	Blooming	23	11	4	8	41:38	3	37
5	Guabira	23	10	4	9	47:44	3	34
6	SA Bulo Bulo	23	8	7	8	43:39	4	31
7	Independiente	23	8	6	9	38:46	-8	30
8	GV San Jose	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
9	Nacional Potosi	23	7	6	10	37:32	5	27
10	Oriente Petrolero	23	7	6	10	34:43	-9	27
11	Tomayapo	23	6	8	9	26:39	-13	26
12	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	7	10	28:42	-14	25
13	Real Oruro	23	6	6	11	38:50	-12	24
14	Academia del Balompie	23	5	8	10	25:40	-15	23
15	Wilstermann	23	2	6	15	18:48	-30	12
16	Aurora	22	8	4	10	39:41	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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