Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (375/442) | 80% (251/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (375/442) | 80% (251/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (36/59) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (104/146) | 58% (47/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.82 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Zeballos L. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nunez M. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
- 58', Ballivian R. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
- 58', Torrico D. ↓, Justiniano G. ↑,
- 59', Baldomar O. 🟨,
- 59', Ramallo R. 🟨,
- 59', Zeballos L. ↓, Torrico A. ↑,
- 59', Torres S. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 63', Restrepo E. ↓, Amarilla N. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Torrico A. ⚽,
- 66', Terrazas A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
- 72', Alvarez W. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
- 81', Amarilla A. 🟨,
- 85', Ramallo R. (Pen),
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Ramallo R. ⚽,
- 90+5', Palacio D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Galindo P. 🟨,
- 90+9', Verdun J. 🟨,
- 90+10', Torrico J. 🟨,
- 90+11', Viviani L. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Aurora
57.4% | Draw
23.1% | Nacional Potosí
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aurora - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.62) |
4.04 ↑
(3.89) |
4.7
(4.7) |
7.8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Aurora - Nacional Potosí?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 50%). Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
- In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Aurora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Nacional Potosí?
Aurora has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Aurora?
Nacional Potosí has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
16.05.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
3:1
17.12.2024
Aurora
-
Nacional Potosí
1:1
14.09.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
1:3
13.03.2024
Aurora
-
Nacional Potosí
4:1
03.03.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 67:23 | 44 | 58 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 64:39 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 63:25 | 38 | 52 |
| 4 | Blooming | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 41:41 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | -1 | 34 |
| 6 | Independiente | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:48 | -7 | 33 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 43:40 | 3 | 31 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 31 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 30 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19:54 | -35 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
