Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
85% (375/442) | 80% (251/314) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.52 | 0.18 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
85% (375/442) | 80% (251/314) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (36/59) | 45% (29/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (104/146) | 58% (47/81) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (7/30) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
87% (13/15) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.18 | 1.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.82 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Zeballos L. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nunez M. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
- 58', Ballivian R. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
- 58', Torrico D. ↓, Justiniano G. ↑,
- 59', Baldomar O. 🟨,
- 59', Ramallo R. 🟨,
- 59', Zeballos L. ↓, Torrico A. ↑,
- 59', Torres S. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 63', Restrepo E. ↓, Amarilla N. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Torrico A. ⚽,
- 66', Terrazas A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
- 72', Alvarez W. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
- 81', Amarilla A. 🟨,
- 85', Ramallo R. (Pen),
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Ramallo R. ⚽,
- 90+5', Palacio D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Galindo P. 🟨,
- 90+9', Verdun J. 🟨,
- 90+10', Torrico J. 🟨,
- 90+11', Viviani L. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Aurora 57.4% | Draw 23.1% | Nacional Potosí 19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)The chances for Nacional Potosí have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Aurora - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.62) |
4.04 ↑ (3.89) |
4.7 (4.7) |
7.8% (8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Aurora - Nacional Potosí?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 50%). Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
- In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Aurora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Nacional Potosí?
Aurora has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Aurora?
Nacional Potosí has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
16.05.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
3:1
17.12.2024
Aurora
-
Nacional Potosí
1:1
14.09.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
1:3
13.03.2024
Aurora
-
Nacional Potosí
4:1
03.03.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation