Aurora vs Nacional Potosí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Aurora - Nacional Potosí
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.970.49
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (375/442)80% (251/314)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.970.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.520.18
Total shots
197
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
85% (375/442)80% (251/314)
Long passes
61% (36/59)45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
71% (104/146)58% (47/81)
Crosses
23% (7/30)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.39
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1210
Tackles
87% (13/15)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3933
Clearances
838
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.181.52
Goals prevented
-1.820.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Zeballos L. , Nunez M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nunez M. , Palacio D. ,
  • 46', Fernandez A. , Aranibar B. ,
  • 58', Ballivian R. , Verdun J. ,
  • 58', Torrico D. , Justiniano G. ,
  • 59', Baldomar O. 🟨,
  • 59', Ramallo R. 🟨,
  • 59', Zeballos L. , Torrico A. ,
  • 59', Torres S. , Rojas J. ,
  • 63', Restrepo E. , Amarilla N. ,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Torrico A. ,
  • 66', Terrazas A. , Blanco O. ,
  • 72', Alvarez W. , Azogue P. ,
  • 81', Amarilla A. 🟨,
  • 85', Ramallo R. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Ramallo R. ,
  • 90+5', Palacio D. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Galindo P. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Verdun J. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Torrico J. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Viviani L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Aurora
57.4%
Draw
23.1%
Nacional Potosí
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 23.6% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 22.8% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • The chances for Nacional Potosí have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Aurora - Nacional Potosí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.62)
    4.04
    (3.89)
    4.7
    (4.7)
    7.8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Aurora - Nacional Potosí?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 50%). Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
    • In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Aurora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 3:1
    17.12.2024 Aurora - Nacional Potosí 1:1
    14.09.2024 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 1:3
    13.03.2024 Aurora - Nacional Potosí 4:1
    03.03.2024 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 1:0
    Latest results of Aurora
    19.09.2025 Aurora - Real Tomayapo 1:2
    16.09.2025 Real Oruro - Aurora 5:3
    13.09.2025 Aurora - The Strongest 2:1
    31.08.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora 1:3
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready23174266:234355
    2The Strongest22161559:372249
    3Bolivar21134452:232943
    4Blooming22114740:36437
    5Guabira22104845:41434
    6SA Bulo Bulo2387843:39431
    7Independiente2286837:43-630
    8GV San Jose23931130:39-930
    9Nacional Potosi23761037:32527
    10Oriente Petrolero23761034:43-927
    11Universitario de Vinto23671028:42-1425
    12Real Oruro23661138:50-1224
    13Tomayapo2258923:37-1423
    14Academia del Balompie23581025:40-1523
    15Wilstermann23261518:48-3012
    16Aurora22841039:41-2-5

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation