Result
3:1
16/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (294/359) | 77% (199/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (294/359) | 77% (199/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (40/71) | 60% (44/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (54/79) | 62% (51/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 9% (3/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 29', Arce Pari J. 🟨,
- 30', Diellos D. ↓, Abrego V. ↑,
- 34', Ramallo R. 🟨,
- 34', Pavia L. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Prost M. ⚽, Palacio D. (A),
- 43', Vidaurre I. 🟨,
- 45+5', Torrico D. 🟨,
- 45+8', 2 - 0, Abrego V. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vidaurre I. ↓, Escobar R. ↑,
- 46', Arce Pari J. ↓, Quiroz K. ↑,
- 46', Gonzales M. ↓, Viviani L. ↑,
- 59', Palacio D. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 64', Hoyos D. 🟨,
- 70', Ramallo R. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 70', Torrico D. ↓, Mendoza M. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Reinoso J. (Pen),
- 81', Enciso C. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
- 86', Prost M. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
- 86', Pavia L. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí
53.5% | Draw
23.7% | Aurora
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacional Potosí - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.33) |
3.81 ↓
(5.11) |
4.11 ↓
(7.54) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Aurora?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 1.
- Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aurora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional Potosí is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Aurora?
Nacional Potosí has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Nacional Potosí?
Aurora has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Aurora were as follows:
17.12.2024
Aurora
-
Nacional Potosí
1:1
14.09.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
1:3
13.03.2024
Aurora
-
Nacional Potosí
4:1
03.03.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
1:0
22.07.2023
Nacional Potosí
-
Aurora
0:0
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | The Strongest | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:30 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Blooming | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 20 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:32 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 | Aurora | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
