Result
3:1
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Aurrerá de Vitoria
33.5% | Draw
32.2% | Pasaia
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurrerá de Vitoria's form might have worsened.Pasaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Aurrerá de Vitoria - Pasaia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.34) |
3.02 ↑
(2.89) |
2.85 ↓
(3.14) |
2.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)
- Aurrerá de Vitoria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pasaia has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aurrerá de Vitoria will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá de Vitoria won against Pasaia?
Aurrerá de Vitoria has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pasaia won against Aurrerá de Vitoria?
Pasaia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurrerá de Vitoria - Pasaia were as follows:
13.09.2025
Pasaia
-
Aurrerá de Vitoria
0:1
04.02.2023
Pasaia
-
Aurrerá de Vitoria
1:1
01.10.2022
Aurrerá de Vitoria
-
Pasaia
1:3
Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Leioa | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 47:26 | 21 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 32:22 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Derio | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 47 |
| 7 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:49 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Durango | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Pasaia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Anorga | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 15 | Zamudio | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 25:51 | -26 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20:38 | -18 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
