Result
1:2
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Aranburu I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aurrerá de Vitoria
16% | Draw
24.8% | Portugalete
59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Aurrerá de Vitoria - Portugalete Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.71 ↓
(6.24) |
3.68 ↓
(3.81) |
1.54 ↑
(1.46) |
9.7%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Aurrerá de Vitoria has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Portugalete is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá de Vitoria won against Portugalete?
Aurrerá de Vitoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portugalete won against Aurrerá de Vitoria?
Portugalete has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurrerá de Vitoria - Portugalete were as follows:
11.02.2023
Aurrerá de Vitoria
-
Portugalete
0:0
Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
Latest results of Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Leioa | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 47:26 | 21 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 32:22 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Derio | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 47 |
| 7 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:49 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Durango | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Pasaia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Anorga | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 15 | Zamudio | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 25:51 | -26 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20:38 | -18 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
