Añorga vs Portugalete – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
11/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30

Chances of winning


Añorga
17.3%
Draw
21.6%
Portugalete
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.3% 21.2% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8% 20.5% 65.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Añorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Añorga - Portugalete Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.32
    (5.92)
    4.27
    (4.27)
    1.51
    (1.43)
    8.6%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent performances by Añorga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portugalete is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Portugalete is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Añorga - Portugalete were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Portugalete - Añorga 3:0
    28.01.2024 Portugalete - Añorga 1:1
    Latest results of Añorga
    02.04.2026 San Ignacio - Añorga 0:2
    28.03.2026 Añorga - Derio 3:0
    19.03.2026 Touring KE - Añorga 3:1
    14.03.2026 Añorga - Alavés C 2:0
    Latest results of Portugalete
    01.04.2026 Portugalete - Durango 1:0
    29.03.2026 Aretxabaleta - Portugalete 2:2
    19.03.2026 Portugalete - Zamudio 2:0
    15.03.2026 Santurtzi - Portugalete 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete33236468:284075
    2Leioa33187848:311761
    3Touring KE33169846:331357
    4Derio331671053:401355
    5Lagun Onak331661151:321954
    6Alaves C331581056:381853
    7Real Sociedad C331641346:38852
    8San Ignacio331571135:26952
    9Aurrera de Vitoria331561240:40051
    10UD Aretxabaleta331261553:60-742
    11Durango3310111231:35-441
    12Santurtzi339121231:41-1039
    13Pasaia33991526:43-1736
    14Anorga331141836:57-2134
    15Eibar C33891641:53-1233
    16Zamudio33961841:56-1533
    17Zarautz KE33861930:59-2930
    18SD Deusto33672025:47-2225

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          Relegation