Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (388/446) | 86% (340/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (388/446) | 86% (340/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (29/44) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (114/138) | 74% (78/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Ojeda B. ⚽,
- 45+2', Katranis A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Yedlin D. ⚽, Goncalves D. (A), Luna D. (A2)
- 62', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 62', Fodrey C. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
- 62', Obrian J. ↓, Uzuni M. ↑,
- 62', Rubio D. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
- 70', Goncalves D. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
- 71', Olatunji V. 🟨,
- 74', Wolff O. 🟨,
- 81', Katranis A. ↓, Junqua S. ↑,
- 81', Rwan Cruz ↓, Eneli E. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Olatunji V. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
- 83', Djordjevic M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 87', Olatunji V. ↓, Piol A. ↑,
- 89', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Sabovic B. ⚽, Pereira D. (A),
Chances of winning
Real Salt Lake
55.4% | Draw
22.9% | Austin FC
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Real Salt Lake - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.88) |
4.16 ↑
(3.98) |
4.36 ↑
(3.55) |
4.7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Austin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 2.
- Salt Lake is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Austin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Salt Lake is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M.
(Muscle Injury)
Bonilla J.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Knee Injury)
MacMath Z.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Salt Lake: Ruiz P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salt Lake won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Salt Lake won against Austin FC?
Real Salt Lake has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Real Salt Lake?
Austin FC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - Austin FC were as follows:
28.05.2025
Austin FC
-
Real Salt Lake
1:1
28.09.2024
Austin FC
-
Real Salt Lake
2:2
01.06.2024
Real Salt Lake
-
Austin FC
5:1
03.06.2023
Austin FC
-
Real Salt Lake
1:2
11.03.2023
Real Salt Lake
-
Austin FC
1:2
Latest results of Real Salt Lake
Latest results of Austin FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 56:39 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59:34 | 25 | 57 |
| 3 | Minnesota United ✔ | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 55 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 53 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 44 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 41:43 | -2 | 44 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 57:58 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | FC Dallas | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 47:51 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 46:67 | -21 | 27 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 41:62 | -21 | 24 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 63 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 47:39 | 8 | 58 |
| 3 | New York City ✔ | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 49:41 | 8 | 56 |
| 4 | Inter Miami ✔ | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 65:47 | 18 | 56 |
| 5 | Charlotte ✔ | 32 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 55:39 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 58:43 | 15 | 51 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51:49 | 2 | 50 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 59:53 | 6 | 48 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 43 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33:56 | -23 | 27 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 27 |
| 15 | DC United | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 29:64 | -35 | 25 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
