Austin FC vs St. Louis City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.072.42
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (423/490)84% (321/382)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.072.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.152.46
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
511
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
718
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2333
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
814
Passes
86% (423/490)84% (321/382)
Long passes
48% (19/40)70% (31/44)
Passes in final third
81% (102/126)74% (78/105)
Crosses
31% (5/16)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.351.21
Throw-ins
2511
Fouls
148
Tackles
29% (2/7)64% (14/22)
Duels won
2657
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.461.15
Goals prevented
-0.540.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Hartel M. , Morales A. (A),
  • 34', Morales A. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Svatok O. , Wolff O. (A),
  • 43', Sanchez I. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Hartel M. , Pompeu C. (A), Joao Klauss (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Sabovic B. , Rubio D. ,
  • 56', Desler M. , Kolmanic Z. ,
  • 64', Pompeu C. , McSorley B. ,
  • 64', Jeong S. , Joyner M. ,
  • 69', Sanchez I. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 72', McSorley B. 🟨,
  • 78', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 78', Wolff O. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 78', Bukari O. , Taylor R. ,
  • 90+3', Durkin C. , Ostrak T. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Becher S. , Morales A. (A),
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Taylor R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Rubio D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
49.1%
Draw
24.6%
St. Louis City
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 25.6% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.5% 26.6%

Austin FC - St. Louis City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.95
(2.02)
3.85
(3.68)
3.6
(3.38)
5.2%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Austin FC - St. Louis City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Austin (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - St. Louis City (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Austin FC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 4 - 80%). St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Austin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Guilherme Biro (Yellow Cards) Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Kessler H. (Lower-Body Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - St. Louis City were as follows:
    30.03.2025 St. Louis City - Austin FC 0:1
    14.04.2024 St. Louis City - Austin FC 1:0
    09.03.2024 Austin FC - St. Louis City 2:2
    20.08.2023 St. Louis City - Austin FC 6:3
    25.02.2023 Austin FC - St. Louis City 2:3
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)