Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (423/490) | 84% (321/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (423/490) | 84% (321/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 70% (31/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (102/126) | 74% (78/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Morales A. (A),
- 34', Morales A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Svatok O. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
- 43', Sanchez I. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Hartel M. ⚽, Pompeu C. (A), Joao Klauss (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Sabovic B. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
- 56', Desler M. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
- 64', Pompeu C. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
- 64', Jeong S. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
- 69', Sanchez I. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 72', McSorley B. 🟨,
- 78', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 78', Wolff O. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 78', Bukari O. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 90+3', Durkin C. ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Becher S. ⚽, Morales A. (A),
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', Taylor R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rubio D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Austin FC
49.1% | Draw
24.6% | St. Louis City
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Austin FC - St. Louis City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.02) |
3.85 ↑
(3.68) |
3.6 ↑
(3.38) |
5.2%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Austin FC - St. Louis City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Austin FC will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Austin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Austin: Guilherme Biro
(Yellow Cards)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Kessler H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Teuchert C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against St. Louis City?
Austin FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Austin FC?
St. Louis City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - St. Louis City were as follows:
30.03.2025
St. Louis City
-
Austin FC
0:1
14.04.2024
St. Louis City
-
Austin FC
1:0
09.03.2024
Austin FC
-
St. Louis City
2:2
20.08.2023
St. Louis City
-
Austin FC
6:3
25.02.2023
Austin FC
-
St. Louis City
2:3
Latest results of Austin FC
Latest results of St. Louis City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
