Austin FC vs St. Louis City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Austin FC - St. Louis City
Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.072.42
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (423/490)84% (321/382)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.072.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.152.46
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
511
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
718
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2333
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
814
Passes
86% (423/490)84% (321/382)
Long passes
48% (19/40)70% (31/44)
Passes in final third
81% (102/126)74% (78/105)
Crosses
31% (5/16)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.351.21
Throw-ins
2511
Fouls
148
Tackles
29% (2/7)64% (14/22)
Duels won
2657
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.461.15
Goals prevented
-0.540.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Hartel M. , Morales A. (A),
  • 34', Morales A. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Svatok O. , Wolff O. (A),
  • 43', Sanchez I. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Hartel M. , Pompeu C. (A), Joao Klauss (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Sabovic B. , Rubio D. ,
  • 56', Desler M. , Kolmanic Z. ,
  • 64', Pompeu C. , McSorley B. ,
  • 64', Jeong S. , Joyner M. ,
  • 69', Sanchez I. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 72', McSorley B. 🟨,
  • 78', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 78', Wolff O. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 78', Bukari O. , Taylor R. ,
  • 90+3', Durkin C. , Ostrak T. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Becher S. , Morales A. (A),
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Taylor R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Rubio D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
49.1%
Draw
24.6%
St. Louis City
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 25.6% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.5% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Austin FC - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.02)
    3.85
    (3.68)
    3.6
    (3.38)
    5.2%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Austin FC - St. Louis City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Austin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Guilherme Biro (Yellow Cards) Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Kessler H. (Lower-Body Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - St. Louis City were as follows:
    30.03.2025 St. Louis City - Austin FC 0:1
    14.04.2024 St. Louis City - Austin FC 1:0
    09.03.2024 Austin FC - St. Louis City 2:2
    20.08.2023 St. Louis City - Austin FC 6:3
    25.02.2023 Austin FC - St. Louis City 2:3
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2