Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (423/490) | 84% (321/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (423/490) | 84% (321/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 70% (31/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (102/126) | 74% (78/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Morales A. (A),
- 34', Morales A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Svatok O. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
- 43', Sanchez I. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Hartel M. ⚽, Pompeu C. (A), Joao Klauss (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Sabovic B. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
- 56', Desler M. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
- 64', Pompeu C. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
- 64', Jeong S. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
- 69', Sanchez I. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 72', McSorley B. 🟨,
- 78', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 78', Wolff O. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 78', Bukari O. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 90+3', Durkin C. ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Becher S. ⚽, Morales A. (A),
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', Taylor R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rubio D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Austin FC
49.1% | Draw
24.6% | St. Louis City
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Austin FC - St. Louis City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.02) |
3.85 ↑
(3.68) |
3.6 ↑
(3.38) |
5.2%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Austin FC - St. Louis City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Austin FC will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Austin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Austin: Guilherme Biro
(Yellow Cards)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Kessler H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Teuchert C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against St. Louis City?
Austin FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Austin FC?
St. Louis City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - St. Louis City were as follows:
30.03.2025
St. Louis City
-
Austin FC
0:1
14.04.2024
St. Louis City
-
Austin FC
1:0
09.03.2024
Austin FC
-
St. Louis City
2:2
20.08.2023
St. Louis City
-
Austin FC
6:3
25.02.2023
Austin FC
-
St. Louis City
2:3
Latest results of Austin FC
Latest results of St. Louis City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 60:41 | 19 | 60 |
| 2 | Minnesota United ✔ | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59:34 | 25 | 57 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 53 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 55:47 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 44 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:52 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:46 | -10 | 40 |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 42:54 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 57:58 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 43:56 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 46:70 | -24 | 27 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 24 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 57:33 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 49:40 | 9 | 62 |
| 3 | Inter Miami ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 72:53 | 19 | 59 |
| 4 | Charlotte ✔ | 33 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 53:46 | 7 | 56 |
| 5 | New York City ✔ | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 66:58 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 52:50 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 42:49 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:57 | -23 | 28 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 27 |
| 15 | DC United | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29:65 | -36 | 25 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
