North Texas vs Austin II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/06/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Choctaw Stadium (Arlington, TX).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	2.55
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
77% (251/324)	78% (273/348)
Yellow Cards
6	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	2.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.00	3.86
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
15	20
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
4	4
Free Kicks
14	24
Passes
77% (251/324)	78% (273/348)
Long passes
46% (25/54)	41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
62% (37/60)	70% (62/88)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.65
Throw-ins
14	9
Fouls
24	14
Tackles
50% (4/8)	94% (15/16)
Duels won
28	57
Clearances
11	15
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
3.86	1.00
Goals prevented
1.86	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Farrar C. 🟨,
23', Cisset M. 🟨,
31', Charles I. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Alastuey J. (Pen),
33', 🟨,
35', Scott T. 🟨,
43', Djakaria B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sangare F. ↓, Urzua A. ↑,
46', Orejarena L. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
63', Abarca D. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
67', Sarver S. 🟨,
67', Harms J. 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Burton M. ⚽, Djakaria B. (A),
76', Scott T. ↓, Baran D. ↑,
76', Fodrey C. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Urzua A. ⚽, Baran D. (A),
79', Torres E. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
79', Hickam L. ↓, Cortellessa M. ↑,
81', Cortellessa M. 🟨,
84', Swann C. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
90+3', Gonzalez A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

North Texas
37.8%

Draw
23.8%

Austin II
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

21.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

20.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Texas's form might have worsened.

Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austin II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Texas - Austin II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)	3.84 ↓ (4.29)	2.38 ↓ (2.83)	9.3% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
North Texas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Austin II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Austin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Austin II?

North Texas has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Austin II won against North Texas?

Austin II has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Austin II were as follows:

11.04.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2

22.09.2024 North Texas - Austin II 2:1

02.08.2024 Austin II - North Texas 2:1

22.06.2024 North Texas - Austin II 4:3

24.09.2023 North Texas - Austin II 3:1

Latest results of North Texas

04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 2:3 ✺

18.05.2025 North Texas - Houston Dynamo 2 2:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:1 ✺

23.04.2025 North Texas - The Town 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Austin II

08.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Austin II 1:0 ✺

30.05.2025 Austin II - Houston Dynamo 2 1:2 ✺

23.05.2025 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Austin II - Sporting Kansas City II 1:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	16	8	5	2	1	40:14	36
3	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
4	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
5	New York City II	18	6	2	3	7	33:37	25
6	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
7	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
8	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	18	8	3	3	4	29:26	33
2	Huntsville	16	7	3	2	4	31:19	29
3	Orlando City B	18	7	2	1	8	26:33	26
4	Crown Legacy	18	4	3	5	6	27:34	23
5	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
6	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
7	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
2	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
3	Town FC	15	7	2	2	4	34:21	27
4	Real Monarchs	16	5	4	3	4	29:27	26
5	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
6	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
7	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
3	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
4	Houston Dynamo 2	18	6	3	1	8	27:27	25
5	Austin FC II	17	5	3	4	5	20:21	25
6	Minnesota 2	17	7	0	3	7	28:25	24
7	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	16	8	5	2	1	40:14	36
3	Chattanooga	18	8	3	3	4	29:26	33
4	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
5	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
6	Huntsville	16	7	3	2	4	31:19	29
7	Orlando City B	18	7	2	1	8	26:33	26
8	New York City II	18	6	2	3	7	33:37	25
9	Crown Legacy	18	4	3	5	6	27:34	23
10	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
11	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
12	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
13	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
14	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18
15	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
3	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
4	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
6	Town FC	15	7	2	2	4	34:21	27
7	Real Monarchs	16	5	4	3	4	29:27	26
8	Houston Dynamo 2	18	6	3	1	8	27:27	25
9	Austin FC II	17	5	3	4	5	20:21	25
10	Minnesota 2	17	7	0	3	7	28:25	24
11	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
12	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
13	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21
14	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)