Ventura County vs Austin II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.64
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
87% (413/473)	84% (331/394)
Yellow Cards
1	6
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	1.72
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
7	0
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
24	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
87% (413/473)	84% (331/394)
Long passes
57% (27/47)	41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
78% (110/141)	64% (51/80)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.54
Throw-ins
20	21
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
89% (8/9)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
39	29
Clearances
17	23
Interceptions
13	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.72	0.30
Goals prevented
0.72	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Gomez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Danciutiu V. ↓, De Anda A. ↑,
58', De Anda A. 🟨,
69', 0 - 1, Farkarlun B. ⚽, Bonachera R. (A),
71', Vanney D. ↓, Muller L. ↑,
71', El-Jindaoui N. ↓, Sullivan N. ↑,
71', Farkarlun B. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
73', Gonzalez A. ↓, Badawiya M. ↑,
84', Musto T. ↓, Arnold G. ↑,
85', Torres E. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
86', Ciesla D. 🟨,
86', Kocevski J. 🟨,
88', Abarca D. 🟨,
90', Kocevski J. ↓, Saribekyan L. ↑,
90+4', Van Rijn N. 🟨,
90+8', Farrar C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ventura County
44.9%

Draw
25.3%

Austin II
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austin II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ventura County - Austin II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.89)	3.64 ↑ (3.48)	3.08 ↓ (3.79)	8.7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
Recent performances by Ventura County have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Austin II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ventura County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ventura County has had a series of home games.
In this match, Ventura County is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against Austin II?

Ventura County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Austin II won against Ventura County?

Austin II has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Austin II were as follows:

26.04.2024 Austin II - Ventura County 2:3

Latest results of Ventura County

09.05.2025 Ventura County - Los Angeles II 2:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 2:3 ✺

23.04.2025 Ventura County - Portland Timbers 2 2:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Austin II

02.05.2025 Austin II - Sporting Kansas City II 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Austin II 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Austin II 4:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Austin II 1:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
6	New York City II	22	7	2	4	9	41:45	29
7	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
2	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
3	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
4	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
5	Crown Legacy	22	5	3	5	9	33:44	26
6	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
7	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
2	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
3	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Los Angeles FC II	21	7	2	1	11	34:45	26
7	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
3	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
4	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
5	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
6	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
7	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
8	New York City II	22	7	2	4	9	41:45	29
9	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
10	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
11	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
12	Crown Legacy	22	5	3	5	9	33:44	26
13	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
14	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
3	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
4	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
5	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
6	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
7	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
8	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
9	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Los Angeles FC II	21	7	2	1	11	34:45	26
13	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)