Austria Salzburg vs SPG Wels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
04/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 9
  • Referee: Divkovic D. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
01
Total shots
88
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', Lechner F. , Schwaighofer J. ,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Gobara P. , Luan (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Lipczinski P. , Gebauer C. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 1, Gebauer C. , Cosgun D. (A),
  • 45+2', Cosgun D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 2, Feyrer S. , Schwaighofer J. (A),
  • 45+5', Feyrer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Muller P. 🟨,
  • 59', Luan 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 2, Cosgun D. (Pen),
  • 61', Brugger M. 🟨,
  • 61', Sandmayr L. , Parkadze L. ,
  • 70', Thurnwald M. , Tischler L. ,
  • 70', Luan , Radics A. ,
  • 71', Gashi A. , Malinowski S. ,
  • 74', Brugger M. 🟨,
  • 84', Cosgun D. , Sorda M. ,
  • 85', 4 - 2, Gebauer C. , Sorda M. (A),
  • 90', Kahrimanovic D. , Theiner M. ,
  • 90+1', Gebauer C. , Gunes T. ,
  • 90+1', Lipczinski P. , Collins M. ,
  • 90+2', Schwaighofer J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Austria Salzburg
58.3%
Draw
26.2%
SPG Wels
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 26.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 25.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austria Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria Salzburg's performance.
  • SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPG Wels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Salzburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SPG Wels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.16)
    4.41
    (3.53)
    7.48
    (3.17)
    -13.5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Austria Salzburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Austria Salzburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Austria Salzburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • SPG Wels has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • SPG Wels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Austria Salzburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels 0:2
    Latest results of Austria Salzburg
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    19.09.2025 SPG Wels - Liefering 1:1
    12.09.2025 Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels 3:2
    29.08.2025 SPG Wels - Austria Wien II 0:1
    26.08.2025 SPG Wels - St. Pölten 2:3
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amstetten1898132:171535
    2Admira1897239:172234
    3A. Lustenau17104323:131034
    4Floridsdorfer AC1795324:101432
    5St. Polten18102631:22932
    6Austria Vienna (Am)1883722:25-327
    7Liefering1767425:26-125
    8First Vienna1755718:19-120
    9A. Salzburg1855822:29-720
    10Kapfenberg18531022:36-1418
    11Hertha Wels1845917:25-817
    12SK Rapid II1845919:28-917
    13A. Klagenfurt1754819:25-616
    14Sturm Graz II1625916:30-1411
    15Bregenz1728721:28-711
    16Stripfing00000:000

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