Austria Salzburg vs SPG Wels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Austrian 2 Liga Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels
Result
4:2
04/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 9
  • Referee: Divkovic D. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
01
Total shots
88
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', Lechner F. , Schwaighofer J. ,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Gobara P. , Luan (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Lipczinski P. , Gebauer C. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 1, Gebauer C. , Cosgun D. (A),
  • 45+2', Cosgun D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 2, Feyrer S. , Schwaighofer J. (A),
  • 45+5', Feyrer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Muller P. 🟨,
  • 59', Luan 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 2, Cosgun D. (Pen),
  • 61', Brugger M. 🟨,
  • 61', Sandmayr L. , Parkadze L. ,
  • 70', Thurnwald M. , Tischler L. ,
  • 70', Luan , Radics A. ,
  • 71', Gashi A. , Malinowski S. ,
  • 74', Brugger M. 🟨,
  • 84', Cosgun D. , Sorda M. ,
  • 85', 4 - 2, Gebauer C. , Sorda M. (A),
  • 90', Kahrimanovic D. , Theiner M. ,
  • 90+1', Gebauer C. , Gunes T. ,
  • 90+1', Lipczinski P. , Collins M. ,
  • 90+2', Schwaighofer J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Austria Salzburg
58.3%
Draw
26.2%
SPG Wels
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 26.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 25.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austria Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria Salzburg's performance.
  • SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPG Wels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Salzburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SPG Wels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.16)
    4.41
    (3.53)
    7.48
    (3.17)
    -13.5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels?
  • Users Predictions: Austria Salzburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Austria Salzburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • SPG Wels has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • SPG Wels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Austria Salzburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels 0:2
    Latest results of Austria Salzburg
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    19.09.2025 SPG Wels - Liefering 1:1
    12.09.2025 Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels 3:2
    29.08.2025 SPG Wels - Austria Wien II 0:1
    26.08.2025 SPG Wels - St. Pölten 2:3
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Polten1191125:101528
    2Admira1165023:91423
    3A. Lustenau1154218:13519
    4Amstetten1045116:8817
    5Floridsdorfer AC1052314:6817
    6A. Klagenfurt1162315:13217
    7Austria Vienna (Am)1144314:15-116
    8First Vienna1143414:11315
    9A. Salzburg1142518:21-314
    10Kapfenberg1142511:17-614
    11Liefering1127214:17-313
    12Stripfing1124516:19-310
    13SK Rapid II1123612:20-89
    14Hertha Wels1121812:22-107
    15Sturm Graz II1113712:23-116
    16Bregenz1106511:21-103

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