Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 7
- Referee: Harkam A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (220/315) | 67% (144/215) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (220/315) | 67% (144/215) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (63/110) | 42% (30/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 61 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Mutandwa K. ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Mutandwa K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Dragovic A. ↓, Pazourek L. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Barry A. ⚽,
- 55', Mayer J. 🟨,
- 55', van Wyk A. ↓, Sane S. ↑,
- 57', Havenaar N. 🟨,
- 59', Mayer J. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
- 62', Grosse M. 🟨,
- 65', Barry A. 🟨,
- 66', Sarkaria M. ↓, Botic N. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Eggestein J. (Pen),
- 78', Mutandwa K. 🟨,
- 79', Sollbauer M. ↓, Kirnbauer D. ↑,
- 79', Bajic A. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Fischer M. ⚽,
- 87', Fischer M. ↓, Maybach P. ↑,
- 87', Eggestein J. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
- 90+2', Saljic S. ↓, Raguz M. ↑,
- 90+4', Raguz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Austria Wien
44.2% | Draw
28.3% | Ried
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austria Wien's form might have worsened.Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ried's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austria Wien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ried, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Austria Wien - Ried Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.7) |
3.35 ↓
(3.85) |
3.51 ↓
(4.08) |
5.2%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Austria Wien - Ried?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ried will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austria (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Austria is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z.
(Knee Injury)
Handl J.
(Illness)
Lee Kang-Hee
(Knee Injury)
Vucic R.
(Knee Injury)
Wustinger F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ried: Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Austria: Plavotic T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Austria won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:22. (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Austria won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Austria Wien won against Ried?
Austria Wien has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Austria Wien?
Ried has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Wien - Ried were as follows:
04.03.2023
Ried
-
Austria Wien
1:3
18.09.2022
Austria Wien
-
Ried
3:0
Latest results of Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 | Altach | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Ried | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | BW Linz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Tirol | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | LASK | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
