Result
0:0
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (169/240) | 90% (606/673) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (169/240) | 90% (606/673) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 39% (14/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (54/80) | 71% (82/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
- 43', Mensah G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yassine G. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 56', Senaya M. 🟨,
- 59', Pelissier C. 🟨,
- 63', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
- 64', Fofana D. D. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
- 65', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
- 65', Chilwell B. ↓, Barco V. ↑,
- 77', Senaya M. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
- 77', Casimir J. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
- 78', El Mourabet S. ↓, Oyedele M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auxerre
27.4% | Draw
29.1% | Strasbourg
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Auxerre - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↓
(3.81) |
3.28 ↓
(3.37) |
2.18 ↑
(2) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Strasbourg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Auxerre (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Auxerre (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Strasbourg will win
(27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Strasbourg will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 2 - 20%). Strasbourg (votes: 8 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Strasbourg could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Injury)
Devernois T.
(Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Injury)
Faivre R.
(Injury)
Mara S.
(Loan agreement)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E.
(Leg Injury)
Moreira D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Anselmino A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Strasbourg?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Auxerre?
Strasbourg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Strasbourg were as follows:
29.10.2025
Strasbourg
-
Auxerre
3:0
02.03.2025
Auxerre
-
Strasbourg
0:1
05.01.2025
Strasbourg
-
Auxerre
3:1
19.03.2023
Strasbourg
-
Auxerre
2:0
27.08.2022
Auxerre
-
Strasbourg
1:0
Latest results of Auxerre
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
