Strasbourg vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.751.70
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
825
Shots on target
55
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
28
Passes
86% (458/530)83% (340/408)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.751.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.43
Total shots
825
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
116
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
518
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1233
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free kicks
79
Passes
86% (458/530)83% (340/408)
Long passes
51% (23/45)29% (10/35)
Passes in final third
64% (44/69)74% (81/110)
Crosses
30% (3/10)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.57
Throw ins
149
Fouls
97
Tackles
53% (10/19)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4239
Clearances
2513
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
0.431.08
Goals prevented
-0.570.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Ouattara A. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Panichelli J. ⚽,
  • 45+1', Thomasson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Edouard O. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Sangare M. ⚽,
  • 72', Said W. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
  • 73', Thomasson A. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
  • 76', Godo M. ↓, Hogsberg L. ↑,
  • 79', Enciso J. 🟨,
  • 81', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
  • 87', Udol M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Moreira D. ↓, Oyedele M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
40.5%		Draw
27%		Lens
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 26% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 26.6% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strasbourg's performance.
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Strasbourg - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.37 ↓
    (2.68)    		 3.54 ↓
    (3.63)    		 2.93 ↑
    (2.44)    		 4.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 19 - 48.7%). Lens will win (votes: 10 - 25.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 33% – 64.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Lens (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Strasbourg (1.68) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Lens (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Lens (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Lens (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.
    • Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Injury) Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Amo-Ameyaw S. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Lens were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 1:0
    16.02.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 0:2
    06.10.2024 Strasbourg - Lens 2:2
    10.02.2024 Lens - Strasbourg 3:1
    29.09.2023 Strasbourg - Lens 0:1
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    22.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lyon 3:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg 2:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Le Havre - Strasbourg 2:1 ✺
    05.02.2026 Strasbourg - Monaco 3:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lens
    21.02.2026 Lens - Monaco 2:3 ✺
    14.02.2026 Paris FC - Lens 0:5 ✺
    07.02.2026 Lens - Rennes 3:1 ✺
    04.02.2026 Troyes - Lens 2:4 ✺
    30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 30223568:254369
    2Lens30203760:322863
    3Lyon31176848:321657
    4Lille31176850:341657
    5Rennes31168754:421256
    6Marseille311651059:411853
    7Monaco311561054:47751
    8Strasbourg301371049:391046
    9Lorient3110111042:47-541
    10Toulouse311081343:44-138
    11Brest301081241:47-638
    12Paris FC319111140:47-738
    13Angers31971526:43-1734
    14Le Havre316131229:42-1331
    15Nice31791535:57-2230
    16Auxerre315101627:42-1525
    17Nantes31481926:51-2520
    18Metz31372131:70-3916

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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