Result
2:2
09/02/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 21
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Montenegro | Arena Sport 3 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (355/444) | 80% (305/381) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (51/90) | 63% (58/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 48% (12/25) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', King J. ↓, Magri F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', McKenzie M. ↓, Sierro V. ↑,
- 58', Aye F. ↓, Sinayoko L. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Jubal Junior ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
- 68', Hoever K. ↓, Joly P. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Cresswell C. ⚽, Suazo G. (A),
- 68', Massengo H. ↓, Danois K. ↑,
- 69', Aboukhlal Z. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Traore H. J. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
- 73', Traore H. J. 🟨,
- 77', Messali R. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 82', Owusu E. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 82', Traore H. J. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
- 88', Magri F. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 2, Edjouma N. ⚽, Babicka S. (A),
Chances of winning
Auxerre
32.5% | Draw
28.8% | Toulouse
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Auxerre - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↓
(3.37) |
3.32 ↓
(3.43) |
2.48 ↑
(2.08) |
4.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 5
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Toulouse will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 17.3% – 58.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 0.
- Auxerre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Toulouse is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Auxerre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Toulouse have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Knee Injury)
Joly P.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Restes G.
(Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
Sidibe D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Danois K.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9:26 (average 0.9:2.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Toulouse?
Auxerre has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Auxerre?
Toulouse has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Toulouse were as follows:
01.12.2024
Toulouse
-
Auxerre
2:0
27.05.2023
Toulouse
-
Auxerre
1:1
11.01.2023
Auxerre
-
Toulouse
0:5
Latest results of Auxerre
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
