Result
0:0
01/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (382/455) | 81% (376/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (382/455) | 81% (376/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (59/89) | 75% (108/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Namaso D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 73', Faivre R. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
- 73', Sidibe D. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
- 74', Emersonn ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 74', Casseres C. 🟨,
- 80', Owusu E. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
- 85', Mensah G. ↓, Okoh B. ↑,
- 85', El Azzouzi O. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 86', Namaso D. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
- 89', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3kyrhrn2
Chances of winning
Toulouse
54.1% | Draw
26.9% | Auxerre
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Toulouse - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.74) |
3.55 ↓
(3.59) |
5.01 ↑
(4.89) |
4.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Auxerre?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 6 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 60.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Auxerre (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Auxerre (4.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Toulouse (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Toulouse (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toulouse will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Auxerre (votes: 6 - 21.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.
- Toulouse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Auxerre is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Toulouse is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Magri F.
(Knee Injury)
Methalie D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Matondo R.
(Knock)
Senaya M.
(Yellow Cards)
Sierralta F.
(Injury)
- We predict that Toulouse will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 2.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Auxerre?
Toulouse has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Toulouse?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Auxerre were as follows:
21.09.2025
Auxerre
-
Toulouse
1:0
09.02.2025
Auxerre
-
Toulouse
2:2
01.12.2024
Toulouse
-
Auxerre
2:0
27.05.2023
Toulouse
-
Auxerre
1:1
11.01.2023
Auxerre
-
Toulouse
0:5
Latest results of Toulouse
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
