Auxerre vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Auxerre - Toulouse
Result
2:2
09/02/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 21
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 2, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.83
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
97
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
35
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
911
Offsides
03
Fouls
119
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
2826
Touches in the Opposition Box
1513
Passes
80% (355/444)80% (305/381)
Passes in the final third
57% (51/90)63% (58/92)
Crosses
27% (4/15)27% (4/15)
Tackles
61% (11/18)48% (12/25)
Clearances Total
2019
Interceptions
1111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', King J. , Magri F. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', McKenzie M. , Sierro V. ,
  • 58', Aye F. , Sinayoko L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Jubal Junior , Perrin G. (A),
  • 68', Hoever K. , Joly P. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Cresswell C. , Suazo G. (A),
  • 68', Massengo H. , Danois K. ,
  • 69', Aboukhlal Z. , Edjouma N. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Traore H. J. , Perrin G. (A),
  • 73', Traore H. J. 🟨,
  • 77', Messali R. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 82', Owusu E. , Diousse A. ,
  • 82', Traore H. J. , Bair T. ,
  • 88', Magri F. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Edjouma N. , Babicka S. (A),

Chances of winning


Auxerre
32.5%
Draw
28.8%
Toulouse
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 27.3% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 27.1% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Auxerre - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (3.37)
    3.32
    (3.43)
    2.48
    (2.08)
    4.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 5
  • What is the prediction for Auxerre - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Toulouse will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 17.3%58.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 0.
    • Auxerre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Toulouse is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Auxerre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Toulouse have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Joly P. (Knock)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Restes G. (Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury) Sidibe D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Danois K. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9:26 (average 0.9:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Toulouse were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Toulouse - Auxerre 2:0
    27.05.2023 Toulouse - Auxerre 1:1
    11.01.2023 Auxerre - Toulouse 0:5
    Latest results of Auxerre
    01.02.2025 Monaco - Auxerre 4:2
    24.01.2025 Auxerre - Saint-Étienne 1:1
    19.01.2025 Angers - Auxerre 2:0
    10.01.2025 Auxerre - Lille 0:0
    05.01.2025 Strasbourg - Auxerre 3:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    05.02.2025 Toulouse - Guingamp 0:2
    02.02.2025 Toulouse - Nice 1:1
    26.01.2025 Toulouse - Montpellier 1:2
    18.01.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 0:0
    15.01.2025 Toulouse - Laval 2:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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