AV Alta vs Naples – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One AV Alta - Naples
Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.35
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
89% (477/534)79% (212/270)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.121.51
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
910
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
89% (477/534)79% (212/270)
Long passes
58% (41/71)45% (17/38)
Passes in final third
80% (115/144)58% (56/96)
Crosses
36% (4/11)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.41
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
1215
Tackles
65% (13/20)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
3020
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.510.12
Goals prevented
0.51-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Desdunes J. , Aoumaich A. ,
  • 20', Alassane M. 🟨,
  • 24', Dengler J. 🟨,
  • 28', Robledo H. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Villalobos J. ,
  • 35', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Henderlong K. 🟨,
  • 61', Evans B. 🟨,
  • 62', Martinez W. , Alaribe E. ,
  • 63', Alassane M. , Lay O. ,
  • 66', Cerro I. , Prpa L. ,
  • 74', Avilez C. 🟨,
  • 78', Blancas E. , Apollon A. ,
  • 78', Villalobos J. , Ceja E. ,
  • 81', Ferrin A. , Garrett I. ,
  • 86', Glasser M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Cisneros J. ,

Chances of winning


AV Alta
42.3%
Draw
27.6%
Naples
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AV Alta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • AV Alta - Naples Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.98)
    3.31
    (3.36)
    3.03
    (3.27)
    9.5%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Alta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Naples has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Alta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Alta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    Latest results of AV Alta
    Latest results of Naples
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves20117233:191440
    2Spokane Velocity19115327:161138
    3One Knoxville1997327:171034
    4FC Naples2096528:23533
    5Charlotte Independ2187636:34231
    6AV Alta2178631:29229
    7Texoma2167828:35-725
    8Union Omaha20731028:31-324
    9Greenville2166929:31-224
    10Portland Hearts of Pine1749418:17121
    11Richmond Kickers21551128:35-720
    12Tormenta21551129:40-1120
    13Forward Madison20310717:22-519
    14Westchester SC1937929:39-1016

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )