Portland Hearts of Pine vs AV Alta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.29
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2513
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
80% (353/439)79% (345/435)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.210.11
Total shots
2513
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
114
Shots inside the Box
184
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
80% (353/439)79% (345/435)
Long passes
47% (28/59)40% (33/83)
Passes in final third
73% (120/165)71% (94/133)
Crosses
39% (11/28)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.48
Throw-ins
2423
Fouls
1812
Tackles
76% (16/21)93% (14/15)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
2119
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.112.21
Goals prevented
-1.890.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Blancas E. ,
  • 20', James N. 🟨,
  • 23', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
  • 32', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Wada M. , Messer N. (A),
  • 45', Aoumaich A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Aoumaich A. , Mariona J. ,
  • 58', Wright S. , Vinberg S. ,
  • 59', Poon-Angeron M. , Langlois P. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Messer N. ,
  • 68', Wada M. 🟨,
  • 68', Pehlivanov K. , Desdunes J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Blancas E. ,
  • 72', Wada M. 🟨,
  • 77', Lay O. , Martinez W. ,
  • 81', Washington T. , Liadi A. ,
  • 82', Coulibaly S. , Quinones C. ,
  • 82', James N. , Kamara J. ,
  • 88', Ceja E. , Ibarra M. ,
  • 89', Cruz S. , Ramos S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
50.3%
Draw
24.5%
AV Alta
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 23.4% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 22.9% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - AV Alta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.69)
    3.74
    (3.87)
    3.63
    (3.93)
    9.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Hearts of Pine is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Alta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hearts of Pine is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - AV Alta were as follows:
    02.07.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - AV Alta 0:2
    21.06.2025 AV Alta - Portland Hearts of Pine 1:1
    Latest results of AV Alta
    17.10.2025 AV Alta - Richmond Kickers 2:0
    04.10.2025 Texoma - AV Alta 1:1
    27.09.2025 Naples - AV Alta 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1One Knoxville (1)Charlotte Independ. (8)2 : 1
    2FC Naples (4)Union Omaha (5)1 : 0
    3Spokane Velocity (3)Tormenta (6)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves (2)Portland Hearts of Pine (7)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1One Knoxville (1)FC Naples (4)1 : 0
    2Spokane Velocity (3)Portland Hearts of Pine (7)3 : 2

    Final
    1One Knoxville (1)Spokane Velocity (3)2 : 0