Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
02/05/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, NESN Plus
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.020.90
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
64
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
112
Passes
76% (321/424)77% (341/443)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.020.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.600.65
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
92
Blocked shots
74
Shots inside the box
138
Shots outside the box
92
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free kicks
1312
Passes
76% (321/424)77% (341/443)
Long passes
43% (37/86)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
64% (91/143)62% (59/95)
Crosses
16% (3/19)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.46
Throw ins
2932
Fouls
1213
Tackles
74% (14/19)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5054
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
209
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.652.60
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Kamara J. , Wright O. (A),
  • 16', Chavez J. 🟨,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Wright O. , Kamara J. (A),
  • 19', Noecker W. 🟨,
  • 33', Drack J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 3 - 0, Wright O. , Kamara J. (A),
  • 57', Milovanov J. 🟨,
  • 57', Mason D. , Cabrera N. ,
  • 61', Lopez M. , Barbosa D. ,
  • 62', Terzaghi E. , Washington T. ,
  • 63', Drack J. , Jones-Riley J. ,
  • 63', Kamara J. , Kunga L. ,
  • 79', Morabito M. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 79', Milovanov J. , Bohui P. ,
  • 81', Wright O. , Georgallides K. ,
  • 82', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Guenzatti S. ,
  • 87', Barbosa D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Green K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
52.7%
Draw
24.8%
New York Cosmos
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 24.3% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 25.1% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • New York Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.7)
    3.67
    (3.7)
    4.04
    (3.95)
    9.8%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, New York Cosmos has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hearts of Pine is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos were as follows:
    14.03.2026 New York Cosmos - Portland Hearts of Pine 1:3
    Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
    Latest results of New York Cosmos
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples74219:4514
    2One Knoxville74219:6314
    3Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    4Union Omaha640210:7312
    5Portland Hearts of Pine62317:439
    6Boise522110:648
    7Forward Madison42115:417
    8Westchester SC721412:14-27
    9Richmond Kickers62135:7-27
    10New York Cosmos721412:16-47
    11Sarasota Paradise72146:10-47
    12Greenville42028:716
    13Charlotte Independ41128:624
    14Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    15Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    16AV Alta60427:11-44
    17Corpus Christi FC50235:11-62

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)