Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 26
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (372/423) | 69% (124/179) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (372/423) | 69% (124/179) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (36/52) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (150/180) | 35% (14/40) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
- 13', Luizao 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Marcos Vinicius ⚽, Jonathan Costa (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Lele ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
- 42', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luizao ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
- 46', JP ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 51', Emerson Negueba 🟨,
- 56', Emerson Negueba ↓, Railan ↑,
- 62', Dudu Marques ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 65', Robert Conceicao 🟨,
- 69', Yuri Alves ↓, Jean Dias ↑,
- 69', Robert Conceicao ↓, Radsley ↑,
- 70', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
- 71', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 74', Martinez F. ↓, Maranhao ↑,
- 77', Eduardo Brock ↓, Weverton ↑,
- 77', Joao Vitor ↓, Lucas Eduardo ↑,
- 78', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Lele ⚽, Guilherme Romao (A),
- 84', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 87', Radsley 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Goianiense
42% | Draw
30% | Avaí
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Goianiense's form might have worsened.Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Goianiense - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.87) |
3.11 ↓
(3.13) |
3.48 ↓
(4.34) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Atlético GO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético GO is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético GO: Jorginho
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Avaí: Andrey
(Injury)
DG
(Yellow Cards)
Jamerson
(Yellow Cards)
Mario Sergio
(Thigh Injury)
Marquinhos Gabriel
(Yellow Cards)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Quaresma
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Avaí?
Atlético Goianiense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Atlético Goianiense?
Avaí has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Avaí were as follows:
10.05.2025
Avaí
-
Atlético Goianiense
0:0
02.09.2023
Avaí
-
Atlético Goianiense
0:2
19.05.2023
Atlético Goianiense
-
Avaí
0:0
01.10.2022
Avaí
-
Atlético Goianiense
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
