Result
2:1
07/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (198/281) | 77% (256/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (198/281) | 77% (256/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 35% (14/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (46/84) | 65% (70/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Cleber ⚽,
- 32', Pedrinho ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 42', Freitas G. 🟨,
- 45', Marquinhos Gabriel 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Freitas G. ↓, Welliton ↑,
- 52', 2 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽,
- 54', Juninho 🟨,
- 60', JP ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Welliton ⚽,
- 69', DG 🟨,
- 72', Emerson Negueba ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 79', Jamerson 🟨,
- 81', Tadeu 🟨,
- 83', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Brayann ↑,
- 83', Wellington Rato ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
- 84', Cleber ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 84', DG ↓, Railan ↑,
- 84', Joao Vitor ↓, Anderson Jesus ↑,
- 88', Diego Caito ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
Chances of winning
Avaí
42.1% | Draw
30.4% | Goiás
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goiás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avaí - Goiás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.56) |
3.05 ↓
(3.08) |
3.35 ↑
(2.78) |
7.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Goiás?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Goiás will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There are questionable in Avaí: JP
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Goiás?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Avaí?
Goiás has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Goiás were as follows:
05.05.2025
Goiás
-
Avaí
2:1
13.09.2024
Goiás
-
Avaí
2:1
27.05.2024
Avaí
-
Goiás
2:0
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
