Avaí vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
42
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
105
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Romildo Del Piage 🟨,
  • 37', Guilherme Aquino 🟨,
  • 42', Jhonatan Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Quaresma , DG ,
  • 46', Romildo Del Piage , Hyan ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Jamerson ,
  • 63', Felipe Rangel , Salatiel ,
  • 63', Breno Santos , Matheus Nunes ,
  • 63', Joao Lucas , Matheus Anjos ,
  • 64', Jefferson Maciel , Joao Maistro ,
  • 67', Sorriso 🟨,
  • 75', Avenatti F. , Isaias ,
  • 78', Vitor Feijao , Calyson ,
  • 80', Jamerson , Gabriel Simples ,
  • 86', Mancha , Windson ,
  • 90+1', Matheus Nunes 🟨,

Chances of winning


Avaí
39.4%
Draw
30.3%
Caxias
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 31.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 33.4% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Avaí - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.56)
    3.01
    (2.82)
    3.01
    (2.74)
    9.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Avaí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caxias is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Avaí
    11.04.2026 Sport Recife - Avaí 2:2
    08.04.2026 Chapecoense - Avaí 2:1
    01.04.2026 CRB Maceio - Avaí 0:1
    29.03.2026 Avaí - Cianorte 2:2
    Latest results of Caxias
    12.04.2026 Caxias - Confiança 1:0
    08.04.2026 Caxias - Juventude 1:0
    04.04.2026 Brusque - Caxias 2:1
    29.03.2026 América Mineiro - Caxias 1:2
    Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias53115:2310
    2Chapecoense-SC53116:4210
    3Novorizontino52216:428
    4Cianorte52217:708
    5Sampaio Correa FE51227:705
    6Tombense512210:11-15


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Volta Redonda53118:6210
    2Operario-PR52304:229
    3Avai52128:807
    4America MG51228:9-15
    5Sao Bernardo50235:8-32
    6Juventude50142:8-61

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