Avaí vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 4

Chances of winning


Avaí
34%
Draw
31.7%
Caxias
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 31.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 33.4% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Avaí - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.56)
    2.85
    (2.82)
    2.64
    (2.74)
    10.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Avaí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caxias is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Avaí
    11.04.2026 Sport Recife - Avaí 2:2
    08.04.2026 Chapecoense - Avaí 2:1
    01.04.2026 CRB Maceio - Avaí 0:1
    29.03.2026 Avaí - Cianorte 2:2
    Latest results of Caxias
    12.04.2026 Caxias - Confiança 1:0
    08.04.2026 Caxias - Juventude 1:0
    04.04.2026 Brusque - Caxias 2:1
    29.03.2026 América Mineiro - Caxias 1:2
    Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Novorizontino32104:137
    2SER Caxias32103:127
    3Chapecoense-SC32014:316
    4Sampaio Correa FE31205:325
    5Tombense31116:604
    6Cianorte30213:5-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Volta Redonda32105:237
    2Operario-PR31201:015
    3America MG30215:6-12
    4Avai30125:7-21
    5Sao Bernardo30123:5-21
    6Juventude30030:5-50

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