Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 17
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
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20 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
75% (268/356) | 79% (331/421) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.62 | 0.67 |
Total shots |
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20 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 12 |
Passes |
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75% (268/356) | 79% (331/421) |
Long passes |
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38% (26/68) | 41% (34/82) |
Passes in final third |
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66% (75/114) | 63% (69/110) |
Crosses |
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23% (7/31) | 33% (6/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.26 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 18 |
Fouls |
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12 | 16 |
Tackles |
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80% (8/10) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
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59 | 45 |
Clearances |
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30 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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0.67 | 0.62 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.33 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', Elias 🟨,
- 68', Bruno Xavier ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 69', Halls 🟨,
- 70', Gustavo Barreto ↓, JP ↑,
- 70', Joao Vitor ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 70', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽,
- 77', Junior Todinho ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 77', Igor Henrique ↓, Paje G. ↑,
- 81', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 84', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 85', Arilson ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 85', Willian Formiga ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Paje G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Avaí 43.1% | Draw 32.4% | Vila Nova 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Avaí - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (1.96) |
2.89 ↓ (3.09) |
3.82 ↓ (4.25) |
6.8% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Avaí - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 3 - 60%). Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Avaí might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Avaí: Marcos Vinicius
(Yellow Cards)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Railan
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Walisson Maia
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Renan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Gabriel Poveda
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Vila Nova?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Avaí?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Vila Nova were as follows:
25.10.2024
Avaí
-
Vila Nova
3:0
14.07.2024
Vila Nova
-
Avaí
2:1
12.08.2023
Vila Nova
-
Avaí
1:1
03.05.2023
Avaí
-
Vila Nova
0:3
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Criciuma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
12 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )