Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 17
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (268/356) | 79% (331/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (268/356) | 79% (331/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/68) | 41% (34/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/114) | 63% (69/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', Elias 🟨,
- 68', Bruno Xavier ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 69', Halls 🟨,
- 70', Gustavo Barreto ↓, JP ↑,
- 70', Joao Vitor ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 70', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽,
- 77', Junior Todinho ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 77', Igor Henrique ↓, Paje G. ↑,
- 81', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 84', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 85', Arilson ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 85', Willian Formiga ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Paje G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Avaí
43.1% | Draw
32.4% | Vila Nova
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Avaí - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.96) |
2.89 ↓
(3.09) |
3.82 ↓
(4.25) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Avaí - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 3 - 60%). Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Avaí might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Avaí: Marcos Vinicius
(Yellow Cards)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Railan
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Walisson Maia
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Renan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Gabriel Poveda
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Vila Nova?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Avaí?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Vila Nova were as follows:
25.10.2024
Avaí
-
Vila Nova
3:0
14.07.2024
Vila Nova
-
Avaí
2:1
12.08.2023
Vila Nova
-
Avaí
1:1
03.05.2023
Avaí
-
Vila Nova
0:3
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 10 | Vila Nova FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | America MG | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
