Avaí vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Avaí - Vila Nova
Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 17
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.47
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
75% (268/356)79% (331/421)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.67
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
75% (268/356)79% (331/421)
Long passes
38% (26/68)41% (34/82)
Passes in final third
66% (75/114)63% (69/110)
Crosses
23% (7/31)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.31
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
1216
Tackles
80% (8/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5945
Clearances
3036
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.670.62
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Willian Formiga 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', Elias 🟨,
  • 68', Bruno Xavier , Ruan Ribeiro ,
  • 69', Halls 🟨,
  • 70', Gustavo Barreto , JP ,
  • 70', Joao Vitor , Alef Manga ,
  • 70', Cleber , Hygor ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ,
  • 77', Junior Todinho , Gabriel Poveda ,
  • 77', Igor Henrique , Paje G. ,
  • 81', Marquinhos Gabriel , Leo Reis ,
  • 84', Emerson Negueba , Thayllon ,
  • 85', Arilson , Bruno Mendes ,
  • 85', Willian Formiga , Igor Inocencio ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Paje G. ,

Chances of winning


Avaí
43.1%
Draw
32.4%
Vila Nova
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 30.2% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 29.8% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Avaí - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.96)
    2.89
    (3.09)
    3.82
    (4.25)
    6.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Avaí - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 3 - 60%). Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Avaí might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Avaí: Marcos Vinicius (Yellow Cards) Quaresma (Injury) Railan (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Walisson Maia (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Renan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive) Gabriel Poveda (Inactive) Jean Mota (Inactive) Marcondes (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Vila Nova were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Avaí - Vila Nova 3:0
    14.07.2024 Vila Nova - Avaí 2:1
    12.08.2023 Vila Nova - Avaí 1:1
    03.05.2023 Avaí - Vila Nova 0:3
    Latest results of Avaí
    14.07.2025 Athletic Club - Avaí 4:0
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    17.06.2025 Volta Redonda - Avaí 1:1
    07.06.2025 Avaí - CRB Maceio 1:0
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    06.07.2025 Ferroviária - Vila Nova 1:3
    22.06.2025 Amazonas - Vila Nova 2:1
    09.06.2025 Criciúma - Vila Nova 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

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