Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Nascimento J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (241/299) | 81% (297/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (241/299) | 81% (297/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 31% (14/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (61/84) | 66% (66/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Rafa Silva ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Vinicius Diniz ⚽, Boschilia (A),
- 45', Aylon 🟨,
- 45+3', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Willian Maranhao ↓, Joao Vieira ↑,
- 46', Higor ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
- 48', Janderson 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 1, Ryan ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
- 51', Caio Marcelo 🟨,
- 59', Pedro Romano 🟨,
- 62', Caio Marcelo ↓, Anderson Jesus ↑,
- 63', Caio Dantas ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
- 64', Matheus Trindade ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
- 64', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 74', Pereira H. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
- 75', Joao Vieira 🟨,
- 81', Moraes ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
- 81', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
- 82', Ryan ↓, Hayner ↑,
- 82', Pedro Romano ↓, Tiago Pagnussat ↑,
- 83', Dudu 🟨,
- 88', Rafa Silva 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
39% | Draw
31.2% | Operário Ferroviario
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.39) |
2.97 ↓
(3.07) |
3.15 ↑
(3.02) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.
- Vila Nova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Operário PR has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vila Nova could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira
(Inactive)
Indio
(Yellow Cards)
Vinicius Mingotti
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Elias
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Operário Ferroviario?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Vila Nova?
Operário Ferroviario has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
02.11.2025
Operário Ferroviario
-
Vila Nova
2:2
11.07.2025
Vila Nova
-
Operário Ferroviario
0:0
20.08.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
Vila Nova
2:3
04.05.2024
Vila Nova
-
Operário Ferroviario
1:0
30.09.2022
Operário Ferroviario
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
