Result
2:2
08/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (238/291) | 87% (428/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (238/291) | 87% (428/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (39/63) | 74% (104/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Gustavo Paje ⚽, Vinicius Paiva (A),
- 24', Gustavo Paje 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Igor Henrique 🟨,
- 52', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 0, Joao Vieira ⚽, Gustavo Paje (A),
- 58', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 59', Cleber (Pen),
- 61', Bruno Mendes 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Cleber (Pen),
- 63', JP ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 63', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
- 68', Bruno Mendes ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 69', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
- 73', Emerson Negueba ↓, Miranda J. S. ↑,
- 74', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 74', Gustavo Paje ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
- 75', Joao Vieira 🟨,
- 81', Thalys ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
- 83', Mario Sergio ↓, DG ↑,
- 84', Joao Vitor ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 90', 2 - 2, Miranda J. S. ⚽, Thayllon (A),
- 90+2', Cesar Augusto 🟥,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
44% | Draw
30.7% | Avaí
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Vila Nova - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.03) |
3.03 ↑
(2.95) |
3.71 ↓
(3.97) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Avaí?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vila Nova will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.
- In recent matches, Vila Nova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Avaí is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vila Nova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Muscle Injury)
Guilherme Parede
(Muscle Injury)
Higor
(Inactive)
Willian Formiga
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Avaí: Adriel
(Inactive)
Alef Manga
(Inactive)
Andrey
(Injury)
Igor Bohn
(Injury)
Quaresma
(Ankle Injury)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Junior Todinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Jonathan Costa
(Injury)
Marcos Vinicius
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Avaí?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Vila Nova?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Avaí were as follows:
19.07.2025
Avaí
-
Vila Nova
1:1
25.10.2024
Avaí
-
Vila Nova
3:0
14.07.2024
Vila Nova
-
Avaí
2:1
12.08.2023
Vila Nova
-
Avaí
1:1
03.05.2023
Avaí
-
Vila Nova
0:3
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
