Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 26
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (357/413) | 82% (357/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (357/413) | 82% (357/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (68/89) | 65% (86/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 18% (6/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 36% (9/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Portanova M. ⚽,
- 22', Portanova M. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Enrici P. ⚽,
- 32', Sounas D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bozzolan A. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
- 46', Sgarbi L. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
- 50', Charlys 🟨,
- 62', Charlys ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 68', Biasci T. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 78', Portanova M. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 78', Rover M. ↓, Libutti L. ↑,
- 82', Sala M. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
- 82', Palumbo M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 86', Reale F. ↓, Cancellotti T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdm5avp
Chances of winning
Reggiana 37.4% | Draw 32.6% | Avellino 30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggiana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Reggiana - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↓ (2.65) |
2.91 ↑ (2.73) |
3.1 ↑ (3.05) |
5.8% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Avellino (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 14)
- Reggiana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Avellino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Avellino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M.
(Inactive)
Mateus Lusuardi
(Injury)
Paz Y.
(Knee Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Izzo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Kumi J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Tripaldelli A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Avellino?
Reggiana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Reggiana?
Avellino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Avellino were as follows:
01.11.2025
Avellino
-
Reggiana
4:3
Latest results of Reggiana
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation