Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 21
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/388) | 70% (193/275) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/388) | 70% (193/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (10/37) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (105/161) | 67% (49/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Reinhart T. 🟨,
- 39', Rover M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Kvernadze G. ⚽, Cichella M. (A),
- 65', Bozzolan A. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
- 69', Gelli F. 🟨,
- 70', Zilli M. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
- 74', Charlys 🟨,
- 74', Charlys ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 75', Girma N. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 76', Gelli F. ↓, Marchizza R. ↑,
- 79', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
- 80', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 80', Portanova M. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 86', Bracaglia G. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
- 86', Kvernadze G. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Frosinone
55.7% | Draw
25% | Reggiana
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)The chances for Reggiana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frosinone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-1%)
Frosinone - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.6) |
3.75 ↓
(4.19) |
4.87 ↑
(4.83) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Frosinone - Reggiana?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Frosinone will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Frosinone will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 14).
- Frosinone is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Reggiana has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Frosinone is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Frosinone: Calo G.
(Yellow Cards)
Kone B. L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M.
(Inactive)
Bonetti S.
(Inactive)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Frosinone will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Reggiana?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Frosinone?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Reggiana were as follows:
29.11.2025
Reggiana
-
Frosinone
0:1
16.02.2025
Frosinone
-
Reggiana
1:1
20.10.2024
Reggiana
-
Frosinone
2:0
Latest results of Frosinone
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
