Result
4:0
03/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 94% (692/734) | 72% (199/276) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 1 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 94% (692/734) | 72% (199/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 92% (22/24) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 90% (257/287) | 44% (20/45) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 63% (17/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 25', Franjic B. 🟨,
- 34', Tutino G. 🟥,
- 38', 1 - 0, Dagasso M. ⚽, Hainaut A. (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, Reale F. (Own goal),
- 44', 3 - 0, Busio G. ⚽, Casas A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kumi J. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 46', Palumbo M. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
- 46', Enrici P. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 46', Perez K. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
- 46', Busio G. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
- 46', Hainaut A. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,
- 61', Doumbia I. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
- 61', Sounas D. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
- 63', Le Borgne A. 🟨,
- 67', Sagrado R. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
- 84', Insigne R. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
- 86', Le Borgne A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 0, Dagasso M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Venezia
70% | Draw
19.4% | Avellino
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Venezia - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.4) |
4.84 ↑
(4.58) |
8.81 ↑
(7.07) |
6.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Venezia - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 62.2% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Venezia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).
- Venezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Avellino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Venezia is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
Compagnon M.
(Inactive)
Duncan A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Izzo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Palmiero L.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Avellino?
Venezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Venezia?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Avellino were as follows:
08.12.2025
Avellino
-
Venezia
1:1
Latest results of Venezia
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
