Result
0:4
14/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (232/297) | 92% (569/619) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (232/297) | 92% (569/619) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 54% (19/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (49/76) | 82% (138/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.69 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', Castrovilli G. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
- 36', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Busio G. ⚽,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Adorante A. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 62', 0 - 3, Hainaut A. ⚽, Doumbia I. (A),
- 64', Adorante A. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
- 64', Duncan A. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
- 67', Berti T. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
- 70', Doumbia I. 🟨,
- 70', Frabotta G. 🟨,
- 75', Frabotta G. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 76', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 76', Mangraviti M. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
- 76', Doumbia I. ↓, Dagasso M. ↑,
- 76', Yeboah J. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
- 85', Sagrado R. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
- 86', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 4, Lauberbach L. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Cesena
26.1% | Draw
29.6% | Venezia
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Cesena - Venezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(3.19) |
3.21 ↓
(3.42) |
2.12 ↑
(2.09) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Venezia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Venezia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Venezia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In recent matches, Cesena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cesena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Venezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cesena: Francesconi M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
Casas A.
(Red Card)
Yeboah J.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Venezia?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Cesena?
Venezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Venezia were as follows:
20.09.2025
Venezia
-
Cesena
1:2
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
