Result
13:22
17/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, France 2 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 3)
- 15', Maqala S. (Try),
- 16', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
- 24', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (3 - 19)
- 50', Jantjies H. 🟨,
- 56', Sheehan D. (Try),
- 57', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 74', Prendergast S. (Try),
- 75', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Deegan M. (Try),
Chances of winning
Aviron Bayonnais
15.1% | Draw
3% | Leinster
81.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aviron Bayonnais's performance.Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leinster might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Aviron Bayonnais - Leinster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.96 ↓
(11.67) |
29.4 ↓
(45.67) |
1.13 ↑
(1.02) |
8.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)
What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Leinster?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- EH +23 - Bayonne (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +23.5 - Bayonne (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Aviron Bayonnais will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aviron Bayonnais will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayonne (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 19:34.
Preview Facts
- Bayonne has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leinster is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Bayonne has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Leinster is the undisputed favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Aviron Bayonnais won against Leinster?
Aviron Bayonnais has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leinster won against Aviron Bayonnais?
Leinster has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Leinster were as follows:
Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
Latest results of Leinster
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Leicester Tigers | 64 : 14 |
| 2 | Stade Toulousain | Bristol | 59 : 26 |
| 3 | Bath | Saracens | 31 : 22 |
| 4 | Northampton Saints | Castres Olympique | 49 : 41 |
| 5 | Leinster | Edinburgh | 49 : 31 |
| 6 | Harlequins | Sale Sharks | 17 : 26 |
| 7 | Glasgow Warriors | Bulls | 25 : 21 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | Stormers | 28 : 27 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Stade Toulousain | 30 : 15 |
| 2 | Bath | Northampton Saints | 43 : 41 |
| 3 | Leinster | Sale Sharks | 43 : 13 |
| 4 | Glasgow Warriors | RC Toulonnais | 19 : 22 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Bath | |
| 2 | Leinster | RC Toulonnais | |
Final
