Result
36:41
14/02/2026 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (19 - 18)
- 12', Carbonneau L. (Penalty Goal),
- 15', Hulleu W. (Try),
- 15', Carbonneau L. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Orabe Y. (Try),
- 28', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
- 31', Fischer A. (Try),
- 31', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Baudonne M. (Try),
- 35', Hughes N. 🟨,
- 37', Fischer A. (Try),
- 37', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 23)
- 43', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
- 44', Martocq G. 🟨,
- 45', Spring T. (Try),
- 46', Spring T. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Tagitagivalu L. (Try),
- 54', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Tatafu T. (Try),
- 59', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Baudonne M. (Try),
- 61', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
- 72', Germain B. (Penalty Goal),
- 77', Manyarara S. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Aviron Bayonnais
67.8% | Draw
4.2% | Racing Métro
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aviron Bayonnais that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Métro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Aviron Bayonnais - Racing Métro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↑
(1.34) |
21.63 ↑
(18.89) |
3.32 ↓
(3.8) |
8.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Racing Métro?
Users Predictions:
Racing Métro will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing Métro will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:20.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 3.
- Bayonne has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Racing Métro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Bayonne is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Racing Métro will win today's game, with odds of 3.47.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 350:481. (average 19.4:26.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 156:148. (average 19.5:18.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aviron Bayonnais won against Racing Métro?
Aviron Bayonnais has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Métro won against Aviron Bayonnais?
Racing Métro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Racing Métro were as follows:
22.11.2025
Racing Métro
-
Aviron Bayonnais
47:27
10.05.2025
Racing Métro
-
Aviron Bayonnais
24:24
19.10.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Racing Métro
32:15
11.05.2024
Racing Métro
-
Aviron Bayonnais
28:40
30.12.2023
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Racing Métro
27:23
Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
Latest results of Racing Métro
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
